Interpretation of the news: U.S. President Trump’s extensive tariffs and uncertainty about his trade policy have disrupted global markets and dimmed the global economic outlook. This has prompted investors to withdraw from US assets. In addition, Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell last week pushed the US dollar index to a low in more than three years, making gold denominated in US dollars more price-competitive for overseas buyers. I believe that the recent rapid rise in gold prices is mainly driven by three aspects: concerns about the global trade war, a weaker US dollar, and risk aversion caused by the high uncertainty of Trump's policies.
Analysis of gold trend: The current trend of gold is non-technical, that is, hedging due to tariff conflicts. With the escalation of tariffs, gold continues to be abnormally strong. With a slight easing, gold will also fall back quickly. Although there was no major fundamental event last weekend, the overall market sentiment is dominated by gold mainstream hedging, and potential concerns about the US debt crisis and the credibility of the US dollar continue! Last week, gold adjusted in the short term, falling directly from above 3350 to 3284, and then quickly rebounded due to the influence of fundamentals, which basically met the expectations of the day, but from the closing point of view, the weekly line closed with a large positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow, and after such a pattern ended, gold is expected to continue to hit a new high at the beginning of this week.
Analysis of gold trend: The current trend of gold is non-technical, that is, hedging due to tariff conflicts. With the escalation of tariffs, gold continues to be abnormally strong. With a slight easing, gold will also fall back quickly. Although there was no major fundamental event last weekend, the overall market sentiment is dominated by gold mainstream hedging, and potential concerns about the US debt crisis and the credibility of the US dollar continue! Last week, gold adjusted in the short term, falling directly from above 3350 to 3284, and then quickly rebounded due to the influence of fundamentals, which basically met the expectations of the day, but from the closing point of view, the weekly line closed with a large positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow, and after such a pattern ended, gold is expected to continue to hit a new high at the beginning of this week.
Trade active
In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The upper short-term focus will be on the 3450-3460 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus will be on the 3405-3400 first-line support.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.