“Gold is basically ignoring a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields,” Michael Armbruster, co-founder and managing partner at Altavest). He believes that indicates , primarily from central banks that are committed to dedollarization of their reserves.”
Similarly, Oxley pointed to speculation that the continued strength in gold is a “wider paradigm shift driven by BRICs+ central banks beefing up gold reserves to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar,” he said. BRICs refers to an intergovernmental organization that includes Brazil, Russia, India and China.
But “perhaps the most convincing argument to ‘rationalize’” gold’s latest price moves is that they’re part of a “wider ‘Trump trade’ as markets adjust to a higher probability being assigned” to a U.S presidential election win for former President Donald Trump, said Oxley.
“If you’re worried about fiscal profligacy, financial repression and attacks on [Federal Reserve] independence, gold would be an attractive asset,” he said.
However, ”When Russia and Ukraine negotiate peace, as well as Hamas and Israel, and China’s economy recovers, then there will downward pressure on gold prices,” said U.S. Money Reserve’s Moy.Needless to say, the idea of peace seems a bit far fetched at this time.
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