Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

The market is full of crises next week!

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📌Fundamentals:
This weekend, China and the United States held two days of negotiations as scheduled. It seems that there are many topics to discuss and the scope is wide, but they are still trying to reach a consensus. Otherwise, there is no need to spend two days of intensive talks. Some people think that after so long, there is no conclusion, which is bad news. I think the opposite. At this time, no bad news means good news. Based on the current "marathon" negotiation time, we need to be vigilant about the expected difference in the results of this round of negotiations. The second is the India-Pakistan conflict. After the talks led by the United States, India and Pakistan have agreed to a comprehensive and immediate ceasefire. Judging from this line alone, there will definitely be no risk of risk aversion rising when the market opens on Monday. The only thing is that the results of this round of negotiations between China and the United States are quite important, and there will definitely be results before the opening of Monday.

📊Technological aspects:
Even if the current round of China-US negotiations achieves an optimistic result, gold cannot fall below 3300. If it falls below 3300 and hits the low point below 3275 again, then the next step for gold is very likely to touch the high point of 3160-50 where the trade war started. On the contrary, if gold can hold 3300, then it is very likely to move like the previous wave, break the range, stand above 3360-70, then gold will continue to return to above 3400. Therefore, the most critical position for the opening of next week is the support position of 3300 below and the suppression position of 3360-70 above. If it breaks, the trend will almost move in that direction.
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