Gold short-term adjustment risk

163
Technical analysis of gold: The strong rise of gold in the early trading session is indeed a bit surprising. We have to think about whether gold has reversed? Or is it just a rebound? However, gold is under pressure from the moving average resistance, and the sharp rise in the early trading session is often easy to rush high and fall back. Gold 3365 continues to be short, and it falls and harvests as expected. Now it seems to be just a rebound, but the rebound is a little larger.

From the daily level, gold rose strongly during Tuesday's trading, touched the key price of 3500, then fell under pressure and finally closed with a negative line. This trend of rushing up and falling back shows that the upper selling pressure is heavy, and the bulls are strongly blocked by the bears at high levels. Immediately afterwards, gold continued to fall on Wednesday and closed with a negative line again, forming a technical pattern of two consecutive negative lines. This continuous decline further confirms that the short-term bears dominate.
From the 4-hour gold chart, the price of gold has been fluctuating and falling since it was under pressure at the 3500 level. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 level, with a short-term decline of 240 US dollars. Although there is a rebound during the day, the upward trend is currently destroyed. The MACD indicator has issued a death cross change signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started. Pay attention to the pressure effect of the 3368 level during the day. For the current market, the rebound is just a flash in the pan, and gold has rebounded again, reaching a maximum of 3367 before retreating. It is currently maintained at around 3330. In fact, the market is currently at a loss for long and short positions, and is unable to withstand its huge fluctuations. For the morning's high and fall, we support it according to the shock retracement. If the European session rebounds again near 3358-60, continue to try to short, the target is around 3320-10, and the loss is 3370. The market amplitude is so drastic that I need to strictly implement good operating habits, try with a light position, strictly stop loss, and don't have a fluke mentality! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3368-3370 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3260-3285 line of support.
Short order strategy:

Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3358-3360, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3320-3300, break the position and look at 3260
Long order strategy:

Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3260-3265, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3300-3330, break the position and look at 3350

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.