Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 February 2025 as H4 candle is still open, however, it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS and will be classified as such due to time spent and price almost trading down to discount of 50% internal EQ.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
Price proceeded to print a bearish CHoCH which is in-line with previous intraday expectation.
Price is now trading within a confirmed internal range, however, I will be closely monitoring this.
You will note price has targeted weak internal high but failed to close above. This is potential liquidity grab to fuel the bearish pullback phase to facilitate HTF bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,882.310.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a double iBOS
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Until then, it is advisable to sit on our hands.
Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.