Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

DeGRAM | GOLD forming head and shoulders

703
📊 Technical Analysis
● A double rejection at 3 358—confluence of the May-July descending trend-line and the long-term channel roof—has carved successive lower highs; the break of the inner up-trend (circled) shifts structure bearish.
● Price is now slipping out of a contracting pennant; sustained trade beneath 3 246 (pattern base / April pivot) exposes the mid-channel magnet at 3 202, with the outer rail projecting 3 121.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Surprise rise in NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations and Daly’s “no urgency to cut” remarks lifted 2-yr real yields and the DXY, while ETFs saw a fifth straight day of outflows, signalling fading bullion demand.

Summary
Sell 3 300–3 320; break below 3 246 targets 3 202 → 3 121. Short view void on a 4 h close above 3 358.

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snapshot
📊 Technical Analysis
● Price keeps printing lower-highs beneath the May-July bear-trend; repeated failures to reclaim the grey channel median (3 330) form a descending wedge that is already bleeding through its 3 312 base.
● An H4 close below the 3 300 confluence (wedge floor + micro shelf) completes a corrective flag and exposes the April pivot 3 248, with the 50 % channel line at 3 202 the next magnet.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sticky US core-CPI expectations and fresh “higher-for-longer” rhetoric from Fed officials keep 2-yr real yields near three-month highs, while WGC data show another week of gold-ETF outflows—both eroding bullion demand.

Summary
Short 3 320-3 335; sustained trade under 3 300 targets 3 248 → 3 202. Thesis void on a 4 h close above 3 355.

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