Gold Market Fundamentals:
The current rise in gold prices reflects the market's intense focus on Fed policy. The market widely expects a rate cut in September, with a 77.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 22.5% chance of a 50 basis point cut, which supports gold prices. This week's focus is on the Fed's policy minutes and Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, which will provide crucial insights into future monetary policy and influence gold's direction.
Despite gold hitting new highs, several Asian banks have received new gold import quotas from central banks, indicating increased demand for safe-haven assets. The stalemate in negotiations between Israel and Hamas, along with Israel's attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon, has escalated tensions in the Middle East, further boosting demand for gold.
Gold Market Technicals:
Gold has reached a new all-time high today, with no resistance above. As long as bullish momentum outweighs bearish pressure and there are no significant news events, prices are likely to continue rising. On the downside, focus on support near previous highs and the 2500 level.
Trading Strategy:
Based on the above analysis, maintain a bullish outlook today. Continue to approach high-level trading with caution, waiting for pullbacks to buy within the lower support range rather than chasing the rally.
Support Range: 2500-2508, 2460-2475
Resistance Range: No resistance at historical highs
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