Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

Gold - Bearish continuation towards a strong support!

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Gold has been in a strong and consistent uptrend, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and a favorable risk environment. However, on the lower timeframes, price action is showing signs of temporary weakness following a sharp sell-off a few days ago.

Currently, on the 4h chart, Gold appears to be forming a bearish continuation pattern, specifically a pennant. This type of consolidation after a fast drop often suggests potential for further downside. If the pennant breaks to the downside, the projected target aligns with the golden pocket of the latest bullish move, between $3,165 and $3,147. Notably, this level also coincides with a strong support zone, making it a high-interest area for potential long setups.

Despite the bearish pennant, the broader trend remains bullish, which means a break to the upside is still possible. However, given the current 4h structure, I'm leaning cautiously bearish in the short term and will be watching closely for signs of strength at the key support.

My plan is to look for long opportunities near the golden pocket, but only if certain criteria are met, primarily, signs of downside exhaustion such as a bullish candlestick formation on the lower timeframes. It's critical not to "catch a falling knife"; confirmation is essential before entering any long trade.

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