🪙 Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Analysis — May 14, 2025
Gold is tapping into a critical support zone, where multiple SMC elements are aligning for either a massive bullish reversal or a stop-hunt breakdown. Let’s break it down:
🔻 1. Context & Price Action
Price has been in a down-channel, respecting structure and forming LHs (lower highs).
We're now tapping into a historically respected demand zone, clearly marked on the chart.
A large compression move into this level increases the probability of a volatile reaction.
🧱 2. Key Zones
✅ Support Zone: ~3,193 to 3,229 — highlighted in pink
💧 Sell Side Liquidity: rests just below support
🔼 Strong High: visible around 3,450 (target if bulls step in)
This is a textbook “liquidity trap or launch” zone.
📈 3. Possible Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Scenario:
If we see a fakeout and recovery from the yellow highlighted area:
Expect a sharp reversal, targeting the mid-channel and eventually the Strong High at 3,450+.
Smart Money may defend this level to grab external liquidity later.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If price closes strongly below support and holds beneath:
Sell-side liquidity sweep triggers, targeting deeper zones like 3,100 or even 3,025.
Trendline break + structure shift = full bearish continuation.
🎯 What to Watch For:
Rejection candlestick patterns near the yellow circle
Volume spikes on the bounce
Clean break + retest if bearish
This is a must-watch area for day traders and swing traders alike.
Stay reactive, not predictive!
🔁 Drop a 🔔 if you want to see how this plays out.
🧠 Follow ChartNinjas88 for Smart Money insights on Gold and more!
Gold is tapping into a critical support zone, where multiple SMC elements are aligning for either a massive bullish reversal or a stop-hunt breakdown. Let’s break it down:
🔻 1. Context & Price Action
Price has been in a down-channel, respecting structure and forming LHs (lower highs).
We're now tapping into a historically respected demand zone, clearly marked on the chart.
A large compression move into this level increases the probability of a volatile reaction.
🧱 2. Key Zones
✅ Support Zone: ~3,193 to 3,229 — highlighted in pink
💧 Sell Side Liquidity: rests just below support
🔼 Strong High: visible around 3,450 (target if bulls step in)
This is a textbook “liquidity trap or launch” zone.
📈 3. Possible Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Scenario:
If we see a fakeout and recovery from the yellow highlighted area:
Expect a sharp reversal, targeting the mid-channel and eventually the Strong High at 3,450+.
Smart Money may defend this level to grab external liquidity later.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If price closes strongly below support and holds beneath:
Sell-side liquidity sweep triggers, targeting deeper zones like 3,100 or even 3,025.
Trendline break + structure shift = full bearish continuation.
🎯 What to Watch For:
Rejection candlestick patterns near the yellow circle
Volume spikes on the bounce
Clean break + retest if bearish
This is a must-watch area for day traders and swing traders alike.
Stay reactive, not predictive!
🔁 Drop a 🔔 if you want to see how this plays out.
🧠 Follow ChartNinjas88 for Smart Money insights on Gold and more!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.