#032 DOES NOT MATTER UNLESS IT HOLDS

Let's get this up & I will explain.

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10:35 AM, 8/12, 2449.XX
1) so first, here is the difference between the 40-day chart
2) and the 135-day chart:

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3) the 40-day should really be called "(90-day)
4) if we are comparing the entire move to 2800s
5) so basically:
a) when do we get to 2528-2545
b) when do we check 2320-2355
c) and finally when do we make 2825
d) BEFORE OR AFTER U.S. presidential election??
e) that's the real difference
f) that means 2800s either come by 11/04 or 12/25
g) this is not a minor difference
h) bc in my opinion it's the last meaningful variation
i) that will change long term prices curve
f) meaning:
g) do we get a 3600 top or a 3900 top, OR somewhere in between
h) and I mean when it's all said and done last quarter of 2025

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6) and ALL OF THAT...
7) starts with the question
8) do we hold the yellow route in chart at top?
9) and that would mean 2465-2473
10) or do we stall, and rug pull bc of mean reversion
11) which will make this look like orange route
12) a bit more extended and would correct base on what low gets hit
13) this question right now is unknowable
14) just use the two red lines to manage the drop

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11:41 AM, 55.63 after almost 61
15) has momentum for this move weakening
16) it's now difficult to see past 68
17) at the same time,this zone of price action
18) is highly dependent on whether or not a headline hits
19) bc apparently everyone expects it to
20) so pay attention to headlines
21) this is where "modeling" fails to predict the next move
22) if news arrive soon, there is a vertical move past 2468
23) that I cannot predict, only infer

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8/12, 1:48 PM, so there is 2468

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1:55 PM, in my OPINION, there's 5 points worth of fumes here, meaning 2473.
a) the odds of a hitting this is a coin flip
b) is not worth the trouble bc you are at risk of rug pull
c so be very careful here

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3:03 PM 2470.xx, whether or not it will move up..
a) there's no more long value
b) I'm working on #033
c) will post that in tg group when it's ready

Binary_Forecasting_Service

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