DEMO 1-5, 4 MIN BAR
Decision time for bulls vs sideways outcome.
Note
02/21 10:19 AM 2029.XXa) my 4-min bar trend charts now signaling a move to 2042-45
b) that's next 6-8 hours
c) leaving the rest of Wed/Thurs for a move to 2065
d) this signal is from THE BEARISH CHART, so it's a pretty strong signal
e) while nothing is 100%, we're looking at a move to 2150-2200 by 03/08/24
f) remember, WE CAUGHT IT HERE FIRST LAST NIGHT
Note
g) if you want in on it put a stop at 25 or something h) that seems like a win to me
Note
11:00 2024.xxa) while it's not over for bull rout yet
b) it's obvious DEMO 2 is winning
c) that means?
d) sideways to nowhere for sometime
Note
e) I don't know if this move to 2023 is decisive yetf) it is , we follow DEMO 2-1
Note
11:21, 2025.00 I know it looks like it's going gray route...a) but bulls still have one life line to spike to 2045
b) but they have to move now to swing up hard
c) if they wait too long their swing window up is going to close
d) right now, it's wide open
e) but this swing needs to happen in hours
Note
Note
f) this route is live right now (chart above)g) but, no stalling and no slow down
Note
11:32 AM ET...2024.57a) bulls have like 45-minutes to make this obvious
b) if they don't commit here..
c) it's going to be sideways to nowhere
d) with no realistic decisive price action until 03/08 NFP
e) it's just going to zig zag between 2025 and 1990 the entire time
Note
f) do I still think bulls can pull this off?g) well they have 45 minutes to make it obvious
h) and if they drop under 2024... then that time limit SHRINKS
i) meaning, sideways and check down will kill the bull reversal
j) after which, you have to expect 2015 and then stall, and then up again
k) and then stall blah blah blah blah
Note
l) why can't it move under 2010 aggressively?m) THE SAME REASON IT CAN'T MOVE TO 2045 IF IT WAITS TOO LONG
n) prices can't just just move A LOT all the time
o) there are zones for price action both ways
p) it's like football in this sense, only one side can be offense at a time
q) and they have a limit of time and moves
r) if they fail in time, then it's a turnover, and they are playing defense
s) so bulls are in a "3rd and long" situation with one score lead
t) that's the best metaphor I can think of
Note
Note
a) 11:50 AM ET, a drop to 2023.xx here b) would mean it's over for chart above
Note
02/21 1:35 PM ET, What do I think I know now.a) it's 2022.xx as I type, and I know i looks just like the "sideways scenario"
b) but it's not entirely
c) we are so close to "turning everything up"
d) so my 2150 target ahead of 03/08 NFP is a sticker
e) I just don't know how we are supposed to get there
f) meaning everything from intermediate to long end says up up up
g) but we are obviously topping right now
h) SOMEHOW, OK?
i) between now next Friday, 02/29
j) it will be obvious we are going up
k) it's just the short to intermediate term -
l) IS A GIANT ZIG ZAG MESS
m) it's going to get resolved
n) but it's literally impossibe to map
Note
o) odds of this resolving bullishly is SKY HIGH NOWp) but the WAY WE GET THERE IS SO CONVOLUTED
Note
1:56 PM, so let's continue at 2-1 before I figure the route up:
Note
3:20 PM - So let's get to it here:
Note
a) so that's first draft, 15 min barb) I have little doubt this happens
c) but we gotta get through the box first
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.