XAUUSD Weekly Long Term

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Gold Prices— Bearish Reversal Targets $2,746.58 Amid Fed Uncertainty

- Gold fell 2.66% last week, closing at $2,858.14—its first weekly decline in over two months. A stronger U.S. dollar and concerns over delayed Fed rate cuts fueled selling pressure, while global trade tensions failed to lift safe-haven demand for bullion.

- The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 0.3% in January, with core PCE up 2.6% year-over-year, slightly lower than December’s 2.7%. While markets still price in a 79% chance of a June rate cut, the Fed’s cautious approach has dimmed gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.

Trade Tensions Boost Dollar, Not Gold

- Despite rising global trade risks, investors sought refuge in the U.S. dollar rather than gold. The dollar index climbed nearly 0.9%, hitting a two-week high after President Trump reaffirmed tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports. The stronger dollar made gold more expensive for foreign buyers, further pressuring demand.

More Downside Before a Rebound!

- Gold remains fundamentally strong due to central bank demand, inflation risks, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, technical signals suggest a deeper pullback. A break below $2,832.72 would confirm a bearish reversal, targeting $2,746.58 in the coming weeks.

- A meaningful rebound may require softer U.S. economic data, a more dovish Fed, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Until then, gold could stay under pressure as investors favor cash and the dollar over bullion.

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