Gold Market Fundamentals:
Investors are largely convinced that a rate cut will happen in September, with the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields continuing to decline, providing strong support for gold prices. Revised data from the U.S. Department of Labor reflects growing Fed concerns over the labor market, reinforcing expectations of a rate cut. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the stalled ceasefire negotiations in Gaza are also supporting gold prices.
Fundamentally, the market remains optimistic. Global economic slowdown, trade tensions, and geopolitical risks are all factors supporting gold prices. Meanwhile, increasing expectations of a Fed rate cut are likely to further weaken the U.S. Dollar, creating favorable conditions for gold.
Gold Market Technicals:
On the 1-hour chart, gold prices have repeatedly tested the 2500 level as a key support, and it appears strong, with multiple pullbacks failing to break through. Additionally, the MACD indicator has formed a double golden cross pattern, indicating the potential for further price increases.
Trading Strategy:
Based on the above analysis, we maintain a bullish outlook today. However, close attention should be paid to the 2500 support level. If this level is broken, the pullback could intensify. Therefore, monitor the 2500 support closely, and I will update the strategy in the channel if any changes are needed.
Support Range: 2500-2488, 2460-2475
Resistance Range: 2520, 2531
Intraday Risk Data:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
U.S. August PMI Data
U.S. July Existing Home Sales
Focus on Powell's speech tomorrow
Investors are largely convinced that a rate cut will happen in September, with the U.S. Dollar and Treasury yields continuing to decline, providing strong support for gold prices. Revised data from the U.S. Department of Labor reflects growing Fed concerns over the labor market, reinforcing expectations of a rate cut. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the stalled ceasefire negotiations in Gaza are also supporting gold prices.
Fundamentally, the market remains optimistic. Global economic slowdown, trade tensions, and geopolitical risks are all factors supporting gold prices. Meanwhile, increasing expectations of a Fed rate cut are likely to further weaken the U.S. Dollar, creating favorable conditions for gold.
Gold Market Technicals:
On the 1-hour chart, gold prices have repeatedly tested the 2500 level as a key support, and it appears strong, with multiple pullbacks failing to break through. Additionally, the MACD indicator has formed a double golden cross pattern, indicating the potential for further price increases.
Trading Strategy:
Based on the above analysis, we maintain a bullish outlook today. However, close attention should be paid to the 2500 support level. If this level is broken, the pullback could intensify. Therefore, monitor the 2500 support closely, and I will update the strategy in the channel if any changes are needed.
Support Range: 2500-2488, 2460-2475
Resistance Range: 2520, 2531
Intraday Risk Data:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
U.S. August PMI Data
U.S. July Existing Home Sales
Focus on Powell's speech tomorrow
Trade active
Now the gold price is verifying the support of 2500 points again. If it can hold, it can continue to be bullish. Once it breaks effectively, it will be bearish.Trade active
2500 still has not effectively broken. The newly released US jobless claims data for the week is slightly bullish for gold. Will gold rebound again? We'll wait and seeTrade active
2500 points has now effectively broken the level. You can choose Sell when rebounding.Trade active
Sell orders placed after the 2500 level is broken can be closed with profit near 2475Trade active
Gold price rebounded after falling to around 2470. Fortunately, we closed the position in advance and kept the profit. If the price comes to the support of 2470 again, you can consider buying as long as it does not break. We will see the specific situation tomorrow.
If you want to get my thoughts on gold as soon as possible, welcome to join my channel
📣Free channel: t.me/Antony_TP
⚜️Copy Trading Contact me: t.me/AntonyTP
📣Free channel: t.me/Antony_TP
⚜️Copy Trading Contact me: t.me/AntonyTP
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
If you want to get my thoughts on gold as soon as possible, welcome to join my channel
📣Free channel: t.me/Antony_TP
⚜️Copy Trading Contact me: t.me/AntonyTP
📣Free channel: t.me/Antony_TP
⚜️Copy Trading Contact me: t.me/AntonyTP
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.