Gold Price Analysis October 4
Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some buyers on Friday and rose to $2,668, or the top of its weekly range heading into the European session. The US dollar (USD) eased slightly from a one-month high hit on Thursday and now appears to have stalled this week’s decent recovery from its lowest since July 2023. This, coupled with geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, turned out to be the main factors driving some haven flows into the precious metal.
That said, the diminishing likelihood of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing policy should help limit any meaningful decline in the USD and limit upside for non-yielding Gold. Traders may also prefer to wait for the closely watched US monthly employment data release before positioning for the next leg of a directional move. However, XAU/USD remains close to the all-time highs reached last week and the fundamental backdrop appears to be tilted heavily towards bullish traders.
Technical Analysis
Gold has responded to technical support on the trendline and is likely to trade within a narrow range pending NFP. 2671 and 2643 remain key areas to watch before price moves towards today’s SELL entry around 2678-2680 and BUY entry around 2635 and 2633. Now if price fails to break the key area like 2670 before mid-European session, we may sell ahead of the NF news and try to hold the position to the support areas.
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some buyers on Friday and rose to $2,668, or the top of its weekly range heading into the European session. The US dollar (USD) eased slightly from a one-month high hit on Thursday and now appears to have stalled this week’s decent recovery from its lowest since July 2023. This, coupled with geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, turned out to be the main factors driving some haven flows into the precious metal.
That said, the diminishing likelihood of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing policy should help limit any meaningful decline in the USD and limit upside for non-yielding Gold. Traders may also prefer to wait for the closely watched US monthly employment data release before positioning for the next leg of a directional move. However, XAU/USD remains close to the all-time highs reached last week and the fundamental backdrop appears to be tilted heavily towards bullish traders.
Technical Analysis
Gold has responded to technical support on the trendline and is likely to trade within a narrow range pending NFP. 2671 and 2643 remain key areas to watch before price moves towards today’s SELL entry around 2678-2680 and BUY entry around 2635 and 2633. Now if price fails to break the key area like 2670 before mid-European session, we may sell ahead of the NF news and try to hold the position to the support areas.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
JOIN OUR FREE TELEGRAM GROUP t.me/+HARBQ2pBFaI5ZjI1
MESSAGE US FOR VIP SIGNALS🏆 t.me/Leilani8597
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.