Technical Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) โ€“ 4H Chart

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๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) โ€“ 4H Chart
๐Ÿ“… Date: June 19, 2025 | โฐ Timeframe: 4-Hour | ๐Ÿ’ฐ Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)

๐Ÿ” Trend Overview
The chart shows Gold trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, indicating a bullish medium-term structure.

Upper Bound Resistance: ~3,455.39

Lower Bound Support: Rising channel line

Current Price: 3,372.64

๐Ÿงญ Key Technical Zones
๐Ÿ“Œ Support Zone (Demand Area):
Marked in green/blue horizontal zone (~3,348โ€“3,361), coinciding with:

Lower boundary of the ascending channel

200 EMA (3,320.50)

Previous price reaction levels

๐Ÿ“Œ Resistance Zone (Target):
Identified around 3,455.39, aligning with previous swing highs (marked with red arrows).

๐Ÿ“ˆ Moving Averages
EMA 50 (Short-term): 3,376.90 ๐Ÿ”ด
โ†’ Price currently testing this level from below

EMA 200 (Long-term): 3,320.50 ๐Ÿ”ต
โ†’ Bullish alignment with EMA 50 above EMA 200

๐Ÿ”„ Price Action & Projections
โœ… Support Bounce: Price recently tapped the lower channel & demand zone (green arrow), hinting at a potential bullish reversal.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish Scenario (Blue Path):

Bounce from support could lead to a rally toward the target at 3,455.39

Channel structure favors this continuation unless support fails

๐Ÿ“‰ RSI Analysis (Momentum Indicator)
RSI (14): 44.76 ๐Ÿ”ป

Below 50, indicating weakening momentum

However, possible bullish divergence setup if price rallies off the support zone

๐Ÿง  Conclusion & Strategy
โœ… Bullish Bias as long as the price holds above the 3,348โ€“3,361 support zone and the channel remains intact.
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 3,455.39
๐Ÿ“› Invalidation: A break below 3,320.50 (200 EMA) may shift sentiment to bearish.

๐Ÿ”– Pro Tips
Watch for a bullish candlestick pattern confirmation around current levels before entering.

Set tight stop-loss just below the lower channel to manage risk.

Disclaimer

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