Gold has exhibited strong bullish momentum since the opening of the London session, driven by a variety of factors. However, the outlook for XAUUSD suggests a potential shift towards a bearish downward trend, targeting the 1884 level. This expectation is primarily rooted in concerns surrounding rising inflation rates. The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year (y/y) forecast indicates an increase compared to the previous data. This anticipation of higher inflation levels tends to erode the value of gold as a hedge against inflation. Investors typically seek safe-haven assets like gold during times of economic uncertainty, especially when inflation threatens the purchasing power of fiat currencies. When inflation fears subside, gold often loses its appeal, leading to a decline in its price.
The London session's bullish sentiment may be short-lived, as traders weigh the potential consequences of higher inflation. While gold has historically been viewed as a reliable store of value, its allure can diminish when inflation expectations rise, making it less attractive compared to alternative assets.
In conclusion, while XAUUSD has experienced a bullish surge during the London session, the looming spectre of inflation and the higher CPI y/y forecast compared to the previous data suggest a potential bearish correction towards the 1884 level. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and inflation trends to make informed decisions in this dynamic trading environment.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.