Tokyo Session Analysis (30-Minute Timeframe) – XAU/USD
XAUMO REPORT
1. Market Structure & Price Action Behavior
• Session Overview:
• Price ranged between 2,737.77 (Low) and 2,745.14 (High) during Tokyo.
• Small-bodied candles indicate low volatility and accumulation.
• Institutional players likely absorbed liquidity below 2,738 before a bounce.
• Retail Traders’ Behavior:
• Scalpers targeted small pullbacks between 2,741-2,743.
• Many stop-losses likely triggered below 2,738, where institutions absorbed liquidity.
• Institutional Traders’ Behavior:
• POC (Point of Control) at 2,742.36 suggests institutions accumulated here.
• They possibly induced liquidity sweeps near 2,738-2,737 before positioning long.
2. Volume Profile Data
• POC (Point of Control - Highest Volume Traded Level):
• 2,742.36 → Institutions built positions here, making it a key level.
• Value Area:
• VAH (Value Area High): 2,745.14
• VAL (Value Area Low): 2,738.24
• Market Implication:
• Trading above VAH (2,745.14) could trigger a breakout toward 2,748.06+.
• Trading below VAL (2,738.24) could push price toward 2,736.22 or lower.
3. VWAP & Institutional Bias Comparison (Yesterday vs. Today)
• VWAP Levels (Tokyo Session):
• VWAP High: 2,745.38
• VWAP Low: 2,737.77
• VWAP Median: 2,741.09 (Price is hovering near it).
• Relative VWAP Comparison to Yesterday:
• Price is trading within yesterday’s value area, suggesting market indecision.
• If price holds above VWAP Median (2,741.09), expect a bullish continuation in London.
• If it fails and breaks below VWAP Low (2,737.77), institutions may hunt deeper liquidity before reversal.
4. Major Fibonacci Levels (Based on Tokyo Range)
• Fib Levels from Tokyo High (2,745.14) to Low (2,737.77):
• 23.6% Retracement: 2,739.67 (Already tested).
• 38.2% Retracement: 2,741.09 (Key VWAP zone).
• 50.0% Retracement: 2,741.83 (Currently at resistance).
• 61.8% Retracement: 2,742.52 (Next resistance).
• 78.6% Retracement: 2,743.95 (Final barrier before breakout).
→ If price clears 61.8% (2,742.52), expect upside continuation to 2,748.06.
Tokyo Session Key Takeaways:
✅ Institutional Buying Zone: 2,738-2,737
✅ POC Control Level: 2,742.36
✅ VWAP Battle Zone: 2,741.09 (median)
✅ Breakout Trigger: Above 2,745.14 (VAH)
✅ Downside Warning: Below 2,738 (VAL), liquidity grab possible.
🔥 London Session Outlook:
• If price holds above VWAP & POC (2,742) → bullish continuation to 2,748.06.
• If price rejects VWAP & fails below 2,738, institutions may hunt stops at 2,736.22 before a bounce.
Stay sharp. Market makers are setting traps before the next move. 🔥
1. Market Structure & Price Action Behavior
• Session Overview:
• Price ranged between 2,737.77 (Low) and 2,745.14 (High) during Tokyo.
• Small-bodied candles indicate low volatility and accumulation.
• Institutional players likely absorbed liquidity below 2,738 before a bounce.
• Retail Traders’ Behavior:
• Scalpers targeted small pullbacks between 2,741-2,743.
• Many stop-losses likely triggered below 2,738, where institutions absorbed liquidity.
• Institutional Traders’ Behavior:
• POC (Point of Control) at 2,742.36 suggests institutions accumulated here.
• They possibly induced liquidity sweeps near 2,738-2,737 before positioning long.
2. Volume Profile Data
• POC (Point of Control - Highest Volume Traded Level):
• 2,742.36 → Institutions built positions here, making it a key level.
• Value Area:
• VAH (Value Area High): 2,745.14
• VAL (Value Area Low): 2,738.24
• Market Implication:
• Trading above VAH (2,745.14) could trigger a breakout toward 2,748.06+.
• Trading below VAL (2,738.24) could push price toward 2,736.22 or lower.
3. VWAP & Institutional Bias Comparison (Yesterday vs. Today)
• VWAP Levels (Tokyo Session):
• VWAP High: 2,745.38
• VWAP Low: 2,737.77
• VWAP Median: 2,741.09 (Price is hovering near it).
• Relative VWAP Comparison to Yesterday:
• Price is trading within yesterday’s value area, suggesting market indecision.
• If price holds above VWAP Median (2,741.09), expect a bullish continuation in London.
• If it fails and breaks below VWAP Low (2,737.77), institutions may hunt deeper liquidity before reversal.
4. Major Fibonacci Levels (Based on Tokyo Range)
• Fib Levels from Tokyo High (2,745.14) to Low (2,737.77):
• 23.6% Retracement: 2,739.67 (Already tested).
• 38.2% Retracement: 2,741.09 (Key VWAP zone).
• 50.0% Retracement: 2,741.83 (Currently at resistance).
• 61.8% Retracement: 2,742.52 (Next resistance).
• 78.6% Retracement: 2,743.95 (Final barrier before breakout).
→ If price clears 61.8% (2,742.52), expect upside continuation to 2,748.06.
Tokyo Session Key Takeaways:
✅ Institutional Buying Zone: 2,738-2,737
✅ POC Control Level: 2,742.36
✅ VWAP Battle Zone: 2,741.09 (median)
✅ Breakout Trigger: Above 2,745.14 (VAH)
✅ Downside Warning: Below 2,738 (VAL), liquidity grab possible.
🔥 London Session Outlook:
• If price holds above VWAP & POC (2,742) → bullish continuation to 2,748.06.
• If price rejects VWAP & fails below 2,738, institutions may hunt stops at 2,736.22 before a bounce.
Stay sharp. Market makers are setting traps before the next move. 🔥
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.