The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) shows a clear symmetrical triangle formation, where the price has been compressing between a descending resistance zone (red) and a horizontal support zone (green). Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Support Zone (~3040–3080 USD):
This area has acted as a strong base multiple times, suggesting buyers are stepping in consistently at this level.
Resistance Trendline (~3310–3320 USD):
The price has repeatedly tested this descending resistance line but has failed to break above it so far.
EMA Indicators:
Projected Breakout Scenarios:
Upside Breakout:
If price breaks above the resistance trendline, a sharp rally is projected towards the 3480–3520 USD zone. This move aligns with previous supply levels.
Downside Breakout:
If support fails, we could see a breakdown toward the 3040 USD region, with extended targets near 3080–3040 USD.
Current Bias:
The market is consolidating, and a breakout is imminent. Watch for volume and candle confirmation at either the resistance or support to determine the next major move.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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Support Zone (~3040–3080 USD):
This area has acted as a strong base multiple times, suggesting buyers are stepping in consistently at this level.
Resistance Trendline (~3310–3320 USD):
The price has repeatedly tested this descending resistance line but has failed to break above it so far.
EMA Indicators:
- 50 EMA (black line): Currently acting as dynamic resistance.
- 200 EMA (blue line): Price is hovering around it, indicating indecision.
Projected Breakout Scenarios:
Upside Breakout:
If price breaks above the resistance trendline, a sharp rally is projected towards the 3480–3520 USD zone. This move aligns with previous supply levels.
Downside Breakout:
If support fails, we could see a breakdown toward the 3040 USD region, with extended targets near 3080–3040 USD.
Current Bias:
The market is consolidating, and a breakout is imminent. Watch for volume and candle confirmation at either the resistance or support to determine the next major move.
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Disclosure:
I am a participant in TradeNation's Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for utilising their TradingView charts in my market analysis.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.