Economic Factors:
Fed Rate Decisions: Speculations of potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could support gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties can also drive investors towards gold, further pushing the price upwards.
Trade Idea:
Type: Market Execution Buy Order
Entry Price: 2,426 (Enter in layers with each 15M candle as confirmation)
This price represents a recent support level seen on the 15-minute chart and aligns with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, which typically acts as strong support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: 2,415
This is below the recent swing low on the 15-minute chart and gives some room for the price to move without hitting the stop loss prematurely.
Reward:
Target Price: 2,450
This is a level of previous resistance and represents a potential retracement to the upper Fibonacci levels (around 38.2% or higher) on the daily chart.
Reward-Risk Ratio:
Potential Reward: $24 (from 2,426 to 2,450)
Risk: $11 (from 2,426 to 2,415)
Reward-Risk Ratio: 2.18
Stop Loss Adjustment for Trailing Profits:
Initial Adjustment: Move the stop loss to breakeven (2,426) once the price reaches 2,436.
Further Adjustments: Continue trailing the stop loss by 10 points as the price moves towards the target, to lock in profits as the trade progresses.
Market Context:
Trend: The major trend in the daily timeframe suggests a possible bullish continuation after the retracement to the Fibonacci 61.8% level.
Confluence: The confluence of the Fibonacci level, the support zone, and fractal patterns suggest a higher probability of price movement in favor of the trade.
Please adjust your risk tolerance accordingly and monitor the trade closely. If the market conditions change significantly, consider re-evaluating the trade.