W14 Daily Edge – Play Likelihood Thesis

49
Momentum structure. Strong weekly open. Large Initial Balance. Breakout bias remains dominant unless we hit exhaustion.

🔭 Likely Play Occurrences
✅ Clean breakout long – Very High
🟡 Rejection-and-hold near VAH – Moderate (watch for retest)
🟠 Failed breakout then rotation long – Low–Moderate
🔒 Shorts – Only valid after AWR High (3170) is hit

🎯 Key Reference Levels (W13 Context + W14 Targets)
W14 AWR High: 3170
50% AWR Target: 3134

W13 High: 3086
W13 VAH: 3046
W13 POC: 3016
W13 VAL: 3004
W13 Low: 3002

Holding structure above 3046 keeps breakout thesis alive. Watching for reaction near 3134 and exhaustion into 3170. Shorts only considered above AWR.

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