Gold created a new ATH and was faced by a massive sell of during this week. The fundamentals don't support gold anymore, as the war is no longer impacting the price development and the high interest rates are likely to stay for a while. Beside of that, there is a chance that we ended the impulsive rally with the new ATH and a correction wave two could already have started. One thing is really important to mention: The new ATH was created during the market opening without big volume, ending in a huge bullish trap for everyone who was considering the start of a new cycle rally on gold.
From a technical point of view, the resistance area 2050 - 2070 rejected the price on daily close basis and I'm looking for a short entry if the price will come to this area again. Only a sustained break above 2080 can push the price to higher goals (2300+), because there is a lot of fear in the market after the huge sell of from the top.
As you can see the trend was moving in a rising wedge pattern, which was violated by the strong NFP and unemployment data today. Considering this strong move, we have a first sign, that the uptrend is broken. BUT the level of 2000 did hold and most probably we will see a correctional move from here to balance out the strong sell of. There is a lot of hope, that gold will create higher prices after a retest of the strong 2000 area.
Strategy Long
BUY @2000-2005
SL 1995
TP 2050
Strategy Short
SELL @2045-2070
TP 1920
The selling area is big, so I have to work out how to enter and where to set the SL.
I'll update you in the comment section, if you like to follow this idea.
Let's see what the market gives us.