Gold prices are expected to increase for the third consecutive month ahead of the Fed meeting
Gold prices are on track to increase for the third consecutive month thanks to strong demand from central banks. Attention is now on the Fed's interest rate decision meeting this week, where policymakers are expected to take a hawkish stance.
As of early Asian session, spot gold price was stable around 2,330 USD/oz - up nearly 5% over the month - ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. After higher-than-expected inflation data was released in recent months, authorities are expected to change their stance in a hawkish direction. This raises the possibility that BoA may have to abandon proposals for more rapid interest rate cuts that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made in December.
Traders predict that the Fed will only cut interest rates a maximum of two times by the end of the year - this is the lowest prediction since November 2023. Higher interest rates typically impact gold negatively because gold is a non-yielding asset.
Although the expected timing of the Fed's interest rate cut was pushed back, gold prices still increased more than 13% this year thanks to many factors such as strong buying demand from central banks and support from Asian markets. (especially China) and rising geopolitical tensions globally (from Ukraine to the Middle East).
In recent days, gold prices have also been supported by a weaker USD. The dollar fell on Monday after the yen jumped on fears the Japanese government would intervene to support its currency for the first time since 2022. Any further moves by Japan could put pressure on the Japanese government. pressure on the USD, making gold more attractive to investors because gold prices are calculated in USD.