gold analysis pre-ny session

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1. Trendlines and Market Structure

The chart shows a descending trendline acting as resistance, which suggests a broader bearish trend.

There is also an ascending trendline acting as support, forming a potential wedge pattern.

The market structure appears to be forming lower highs and higher lows, indicating a possible breakout scenario.

2. Order Blocks (OB) & Fair Value Gap (FVG)

There is a marked order block (OB) around the 3,025 - 3,027 price zone, indicating a potential supply area where sellers may enter the market.

A bearish fair value gap (B FVG) is identified below the recent price action, indicating inefficiency that may get filled before a further move.

3. Change of Character (ChoCh) & Liquidity Levels

A Change of Character (ChoCh) is noted, signaling a shift in momentum.

The price is reacting around a key liquidity zone.

Marked levels like London Low and Asian Low highlight areas where liquidity may be taken before a reversal.

4. Key Price Levels & Zones

Major resistance at 3,033.258: If price breaks above this, it may continue toward 3,047.569.

Support at 2,999.499: A potential bearish target if the price breaks below recent structure.

Post NY Low: Marked as a liquidity target, possibly leading to a downside move.

5. Potential Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario

If price breaks above the OB and trendline resistance, we could see a continuation toward 3,033 - 3,047.

Retesting the B FVG as support could confirm a bullish push.

Bearish Scenario

If price fails to hold support and breaks below the ascending trendline, it may target the London Low (around 3,010) and further drop to 2,999.

A liquidity grab above the OB followed by rejection would confirm a short opportunity.

6. Conclusion

Your analysis suggests a crucial decision point for XAU/USD. Traders should watch for price reactions at the OB and trendline levels to confirm direction. A breakout above 3,033 may lead to further upside, while a failure could trigger a move below 3,010.

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