Gold has seen a strong rally over the past week – technically impressive, but from a Risk-On perspective, it’s more of a warning sign. As I mentioned in my Nvidia market report, I don’t think the Risk-Off phase will last forever. But for now, I believe we’re not quite done with it yet.
From where I stand, Gold could push a bit higher. My next target is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $3,038, which I expect to act as a reaction level. After that, I’m targeting a drop back down into the $2,955 to $2,930 area – this is where I expect sub-wave ((iv)) to complete.
What happens next will depend on how price reacts within that zone. Ideally, we’ll see one final move up to complete sub-wave (v) or roman ((iii)), but where exactly that ends is still unclear – I’ll reassess as we approach the zone.
For now, Gold remains strong – but I believe it's nearing exhaustion.