XAU/USD Multi-Timeframe Comprehensive Analysis with Key Success

Key Notes:
  1. Breach below $2,633 invalidates bullish setups.
  2. Resistance near $2,640–$2,645 must be monitored for rejection signals.
  3. Watch for RSI div
ergence and volume alignment before entry execution.



1H Chart:
EMA-21 ($2,638) and SMA-50 ($2,637) act as key pullback levels.
Resistance exists at $2,640–$2,645 due to untested bearish FVG zones.
Momentum shows a slow recovery, with RSI climbing toward 50.

4H Chart:
Bollinger Bands indicate overextension near $2,640, signaling a possible pullback to the $2,634–$2,636 zone.
Support: Strong support around $2,628.50 (previous consolidation zone).

Daily Chart:
Price is rebounding from major support levels near $2,620, with resistance at $2,650.


Key Success Factors (KSF) Scenarios

Bullish Scenario:
Trigger:
Price remains above $2,636 and breaks $2,640.
Momentum indicators (RSI > 50, Stochastic RSI bullish cross) align with volume spikes.
Volume Confirmation:
Increased positive volume above $2,640–$2,642 indicates breakout strength.

Final Trading Outlook

Entry Type Entry Price Stop Loss TP1 TP2 R:R Ratio
Pullback Long $2,636 $2,633 $2,640 $2,645 1:3
Breakout Long $2,641 $2,638 $2,645 $2,650 1:2.5
Resistance Short $2,639 $2,642 $2,636 $2,634 1:3
Trend Analysis

Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
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