DEMO 1-3, 4-MIN BAR

Good until it's not.

Note

12:03 PM, I gotta get going.
a) so I updated both routes for 4-min bar
b) but the overall 90-min bar picture has stayed the same FOR BOTH ROUTES
c) the bear route would simply re-merge and without added vol

Note

12:08 PM ET, I imagine:
a) 1-4 tonight
b) 1-5 at 2-3 AM (only this way solves the overnight manipulation)
c) 1-6 before NY OPEN
d) 1-7 around noon tomorrow
e) that schedule would "cover all bases" to very little surprise
f) this would be easy to do if I do not have to adjust 90-min chart
g) bc at some point, we have to move to DEMO 2 - 90-min bar, or 60, or 45 or whatever
h) keep in mind, fill or kill 2/27

Note

12:20 CROSSOVER IS WHERE THEY 'KISS' NEXT:

DEMO 1, 90-MIN BAR, VARIABLE REFRESH RATE

a) chart above is DEMO-1
b) where they kiss next,
c) is "crossover"
d) until bulls move aggressively away from crossover
e) odds have not moved meaningfully

Note

f) on an "intermediate basis"

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Note

1:13 no decision ... yet:

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1:28 PM 2028, so I'm on the run until 1-4.

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2/20, 4:49 PM ET, WHERE WE ARE:
1) if you replay chart at top, price has moved to bear outcome
2) but if you replay this:

3) in chart above, you'll see that price started out over performing blue hilight
4) but now its under performing and is about to lose the support at second black arrow

Note

5) but if you replay this:

6) for chart above, we still have not hit the 'kiss" crossover
7) until then, it's not obvious that this resolves bearishly
8) I stated at the beginning of 1-1 that I did not expect decisiveness until Wednesday
9) and that is still true

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2/20, 6:36 PM ET, WHILE EDITING ROUTE, I FOUND EQUILIBRIUM, SO HERE'S DEMO 2:

DEMO 2 - 60-MIN BAR, VARIABLE REFRESH RATE

Note

2/20, 11:05 PM ET, HERE IS 1-4:

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