XAUMO Platinum. Precision execution. Institutional-grade strategy. Trade like a pro.
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📌 Institutional Recap: NYC Weekly Close & Key Takeaways
1️⃣ Macro Overview & Market Reaction
Last week’s price action was driven by China’s deflationary risks, USD strength post-NFP, and institutional positioning ahead of FOMC.
🔻 China’s CPI (-0.4%) & Core CPI (-0.2%) YoY: Confirmed structural demand weakness, raising expectations for monetary intervention.
🔻 PPI remains negative: Reinforcing the risk of prolonged Japanification in China.
🔻 NFP surprised to the upside: Strengthened the “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook, temporarily capping gold’s rally.
2️⃣ NYC Session Weekly Close (Final Institutional Positioning)
🔹 Final Print: $2,911.41
🔹 High: $2,930.43
🔹 Low: $2,901.87
🔹 VWAP Close: $2,914.27 (Institutional price-weighted fair value zone.)
🔹 Point of Control (POC): $2,911.00 (Highest volume node, key battle zone.)
🔹 Value Area Low (VAL): $2,905.50 (Major liquidity defense.)
🔹 Value Area High (VAH): $2,928.00 (Institutional supply zone.)
📌 Institutional Takeaway: NYC session closed at POC ($2,911), signaling neutral positioning into Asia. Liquidity flow in Asia will dictate Monday’s momentum.
⸻
📌 Asia Session Outlook: China’s Economic Data Impact
China’s latest economic data release will set the directional bias for the day.
Scenario 1: Bullish Case (60% Probability)
🔹 China announces liquidity injection → Gold rallies above POC.
🔹 If USD weakens vs. CNY, expect capital flight into gold.
🔹 Key pivot: If $2,920 holds, expect acceleration to $2,935 - $2,950.
Scenario 2: Bearish Case (40% Probability)
🔹 China delivers weak or no stimulus → Risk-off sentiment dominates.
🔹 USD strengthens → Gold tests liquidity below $2,905.
🔹 Break of $2,901 targets deep retrace toward $2,880 (Golden Fib 0.618).
⸻
📌 XAUMO Fair Value Range Projection (FVRP) – Monday, March 11, 2025
Scenario Price Level Likelihood
Bullish Breakout Target (VAH - Resistance) $2,935 - $2,960 60%
Fair Value Range (POC – VWAP) $2,905 - $2,925 75%
Downside Risk Support Zone (VAL – Critical Support) $2,880 - $2,901 65%
📌 Institutional Takeaway: If price holds above POC ($2,911), bulls remain in control. A loss of VAL ($2,905) signals deeper retracement.
⸻
📌 Golden Fibonacci Retracement Levels (Key Institutional Zones)
📌 Measured Swing: Last Week’s Low ($2,857.37) → High ($2,930.43)
🔹 0.382 Retrace (Shallow Pullback) → $2,905.00 (Aligns with SMA 14 & VAL.)
🔹 0.50 Retrace (Institutional Rebalance Zone) → $2,895.00 (Liquidity trap area.)
🔹 0.618 Retrace (Deep Value Buy Zone) → $2,880.00 (Major liquidity pocket.)
📌 Institutional Takeaway: $2,905 - $2,910 is the battleground.
✅ If this holds, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If broken, expect a deeper drop to $2,880.
⸻
📌 Institutional Trade Roadmap – Sequential Execution
📍 Cairo Local Time Zones (GMT+2)
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1️⃣ Asian Session (02:00 - 09:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Moderate until China’s data release (~04:30-05:00).
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy VAL Rejection → Target VWAP.
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Limit @ $2,905.50 (VAL Retest)
Stop Loss @ $2,898
Take Profit @ $2,930 (VAH)
Confidence: 80%
📌 Justification:
• Asia tends to sweep liquidity below VWAP ($2,914) before pushing higher.
⸻
2️⃣ Asia-Europe Overlap (09:00 - 12:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: High—institutional positioning begins.
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy Breakout Above VWAP ($2,915).
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Stop @ $2,922
Stop Loss @ $2,910
Take Profit @ $2,950
Confidence: 75%
⸻
3️⃣ London Session (12:00 - 16:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Peak Volume – institutional block orders executed.
🔹 Trade Setup: Sell Fake London Rally @ $2,935.
🔹 Order Details:
Sell Limit @ $2,935
Stop Loss @ $2,945
Take Profit @ $2,910
Confidence: 70%
⸻
4️⃣ Pre-NYC Session (16:00 - 17:30 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Low to moderate—NYC desks prepare order flow.
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy Dip @ VWAP Before NYC.
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Limit @ $2,910 (VWAP Support)
Stop Loss @ $2,902
Take Profit @ $2,930
Confidence: 75%
📌 Justification: NYC session often accumulates before making a directional move.
⸻
5️⃣ NYC-EU Overlap (17:30 - 20:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Extreme volatility.
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy Breakout Confirmation Above $2,935.
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Stop @ $2,936
Stop Loss @ $2,922
Take Profit @ $2,960
Confidence: 70%
⸻
6️⃣ NYC Session (20:00 - 00:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: High – Final institutional positioning.
🔹 Trade Setup: Sell Exhaustion @ $2,960.
🔹 Order Details:
Sell Limit @ $2,960
Stop Loss @ $2,970
Take Profit @ $2,935
Confidence: 75%
⸻
📌 XAUMO Institutional Execution Plan – Maximizing RRR
✅ Buy VAL rejection @ $2,905.50 → Target $2,930 (VAH).
✅ Buy confirmed breakout @ $2,922 → Target $2,950.
✅ Sell $2,935 rejection → Target $2,910 (POC).
✅ Buy NYC dip @ VWAP $2,910 → Target $2,930.
✅ Sell overextension @ $2,960 → Target $2,935.
⸻
📌 Institutional Recap: NYC Weekly Close & Key Takeaways
1️⃣ Macro Overview & Market Reaction
Last week’s price action was driven by China’s deflationary risks, USD strength post-NFP, and institutional positioning ahead of FOMC.
🔻 China’s CPI (-0.4%) & Core CPI (-0.2%) YoY: Confirmed structural demand weakness, raising expectations for monetary intervention.
🔻 PPI remains negative: Reinforcing the risk of prolonged Japanification in China.
🔻 NFP surprised to the upside: Strengthened the “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook, temporarily capping gold’s rally.
2️⃣ NYC Session Weekly Close (Final Institutional Positioning)
🔹 Final Print: $2,911.41
🔹 High: $2,930.43
🔹 Low: $2,901.87
🔹 VWAP Close: $2,914.27 (Institutional price-weighted fair value zone.)
🔹 Point of Control (POC): $2,911.00 (Highest volume node, key battle zone.)
🔹 Value Area Low (VAL): $2,905.50 (Major liquidity defense.)
🔹 Value Area High (VAH): $2,928.00 (Institutional supply zone.)
📌 Institutional Takeaway: NYC session closed at POC ($2,911), signaling neutral positioning into Asia. Liquidity flow in Asia will dictate Monday’s momentum.
⸻
📌 Asia Session Outlook: China’s Economic Data Impact
China’s latest economic data release will set the directional bias for the day.
Scenario 1: Bullish Case (60% Probability)
🔹 China announces liquidity injection → Gold rallies above POC.
🔹 If USD weakens vs. CNY, expect capital flight into gold.
🔹 Key pivot: If $2,920 holds, expect acceleration to $2,935 - $2,950.
Scenario 2: Bearish Case (40% Probability)
🔹 China delivers weak or no stimulus → Risk-off sentiment dominates.
🔹 USD strengthens → Gold tests liquidity below $2,905.
🔹 Break of $2,901 targets deep retrace toward $2,880 (Golden Fib 0.618).
⸻
📌 XAUMO Fair Value Range Projection (FVRP) – Monday, March 11, 2025
Scenario Price Level Likelihood
Bullish Breakout Target (VAH - Resistance) $2,935 - $2,960 60%
Fair Value Range (POC – VWAP) $2,905 - $2,925 75%
Downside Risk Support Zone (VAL – Critical Support) $2,880 - $2,901 65%
📌 Institutional Takeaway: If price holds above POC ($2,911), bulls remain in control. A loss of VAL ($2,905) signals deeper retracement.
⸻
📌 Golden Fibonacci Retracement Levels (Key Institutional Zones)
📌 Measured Swing: Last Week’s Low ($2,857.37) → High ($2,930.43)
🔹 0.382 Retrace (Shallow Pullback) → $2,905.00 (Aligns with SMA 14 & VAL.)
🔹 0.50 Retrace (Institutional Rebalance Zone) → $2,895.00 (Liquidity trap area.)
🔹 0.618 Retrace (Deep Value Buy Zone) → $2,880.00 (Major liquidity pocket.)
📌 Institutional Takeaway: $2,905 - $2,910 is the battleground.
✅ If this holds, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If broken, expect a deeper drop to $2,880.
⸻
📌 Institutional Trade Roadmap – Sequential Execution
📍 Cairo Local Time Zones (GMT+2)
⸻
1️⃣ Asian Session (02:00 - 09:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Moderate until China’s data release (~04:30-05:00).
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy VAL Rejection → Target VWAP.
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Limit @ $2,905.50 (VAL Retest)
Stop Loss @ $2,898
Take Profit @ $2,930 (VAH)
Confidence: 80%
📌 Justification:
• Asia tends to sweep liquidity below VWAP ($2,914) before pushing higher.
⸻
2️⃣ Asia-Europe Overlap (09:00 - 12:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: High—institutional positioning begins.
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy Breakout Above VWAP ($2,915).
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Stop @ $2,922
Stop Loss @ $2,910
Take Profit @ $2,950
Confidence: 75%
⸻
3️⃣ London Session (12:00 - 16:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Peak Volume – institutional block orders executed.
🔹 Trade Setup: Sell Fake London Rally @ $2,935.
🔹 Order Details:
Sell Limit @ $2,935
Stop Loss @ $2,945
Take Profit @ $2,910
Confidence: 70%
⸻
4️⃣ Pre-NYC Session (16:00 - 17:30 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Low to moderate—NYC desks prepare order flow.
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy Dip @ VWAP Before NYC.
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Limit @ $2,910 (VWAP Support)
Stop Loss @ $2,902
Take Profit @ $2,930
Confidence: 75%
📌 Justification: NYC session often accumulates before making a directional move.
⸻
5️⃣ NYC-EU Overlap (17:30 - 20:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: Extreme volatility.
🔹 Trade Setup: Buy Breakout Confirmation Above $2,935.
🔹 Order Details:
Buy Stop @ $2,936
Stop Loss @ $2,922
Take Profit @ $2,960
Confidence: 70%
⸻
6️⃣ NYC Session (20:00 - 00:00 Cairo Time)
🔹 Liquidity Expectation: High – Final institutional positioning.
🔹 Trade Setup: Sell Exhaustion @ $2,960.
🔹 Order Details:
Sell Limit @ $2,960
Stop Loss @ $2,970
Take Profit @ $2,935
Confidence: 75%
⸻
📌 XAUMO Institutional Execution Plan – Maximizing RRR
✅ Buy VAL rejection @ $2,905.50 → Target $2,930 (VAH).
✅ Buy confirmed breakout @ $2,922 → Target $2,950.
✅ Sell $2,935 rejection → Target $2,910 (POC).
✅ Buy NYC dip @ VWAP $2,910 → Target $2,930.
✅ Sell overextension @ $2,960 → Target $2,935.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.