XAUMO Full Execution Report — April 4, 2025
⸻
1. DAILY OUTLOOK (April 4, 2025)
Timeframe: Daily
• Trend: Strong rejection from previous high at 3,167.88, with bearish control into NY close.
• POC (FRVP daily): 3,093.85 — Magnet level. Price will respect this; eyes on retest or breakdown.
• VAL: 3,068.55 — Support. Below here? Liquidity trap expected. MM will sweep this if bears continue.
• VAH: 3,117.84 — Resistance zone. Above this = breakout play.
• VWAP (Daily): 3,114.48,
• VWAP Low: 3,068.55,
• VWAP High: 3,134.42
Bias: Short Bias while below VWAP. Retracements into 3,100–3,114 = short zones unless bulls reclaim with volume.
VSA Footprint:
• High volume at previous push-up (April 2–3) now turned resistance supply zone.
• Volume drop as price approached VAL, indicating potential spring/fakeout.
⸻
2. 4-HOUR OUTLOOK (H4)
• Trend: Sharp swing high rejection, forming descending structure.
• VWAP (H4): 3,107.09
• POC (H4 FRVP): 3,085.19
• VAL: 3,066.36,
• VAH: 3,112.90
Market Maker Logic: Currently operating a liquidity grab below VAL at 3,066 — then bounce to trap late sellers.
Scenario Setup:
• Break below 3,066: Trap & reverse play to 3,085 POC.
• Push to 3,107–3,112 (VAH): Watch for shooting star or exhaustion — prime for reversal short.
⸻
3. 1-HOUR OUTLOOK (H1)
• POC (H1): 3,080.12
• VAL: 3,075.77,
• VAH: 3,104.02
• VWAP: 3,100.72
Structure:
• Price is consolidating just under VWAP = building fuel.
• Volume divergence seen = weakness in bulls above VWAP.
Setup:
• Retest of VWAP → rejection = short scalp.
• Price holds 3,075 → buys into VWAP → TP = POC/VWAP
⸻
4. 15-MIN OUTLOOK (Scalping Zone)
VWAP: 3,080.17
VAL: 3,078.98,
VAH: 3,095.03
POC: 3,087.00
Scalp Zone Plan:
• Price near VWAP/POC = No trade.
• Drop to VAL (3,078) → bounce = scalp long to POC/VWAP
• Pump to VAH (3,095) → rejection = scalp short back to POC
VSA Confirmed:
• Absorption seen at 3,085–3,088
• Footprint shows selling imbalance at 3,093+
⸻
5. SESSION BREAKDOWN
Tokyo Session (2 AM - 8 AM Cairo)
Expect low volatility fakeouts
• Scenario 1: Early drop to sweep 3,075 liquidity zone (VAL). Look for spring reversal long.
• Scenario 2: Push to 3,085-3,088 = MM trap zone → scalp short.
Trade Setup:
• Buy Limit @ 3,076.50
• SL: 3,068.00
• TP1: 3,085.50
• TP2: 3,093.00
• Confidence: 78%
• Justification: VAL sweep + POC magnet + Low Volume Node at 3,076.
⸻
London Session (10 AM - 2 PM Cairo)
Volatility rise. Key move zone.
• Scenario 1: Price pumps above VWAP to 3,095 → stalls → trap long → reversal short.
• Scenario 2: MM drives price down to fill bids at 3,070 zone → double bottom → rally to VWAP.
Trade Setup:
• Sell Limit @ 3,094.50
• SL: 3,101.00
• TP1: 3,085.00
• TP2: 3,075.00
• Confidence: 82%
• Justification: VAH + exhaustion volume + bearish divergence on RSI/MACD.
⸻
NYC Pre-Market (2 PM - 3:30 PM Cairo)
MM trap time. Avoid overtrading.
• MM may fake breakout above VAH (3,104–3,109) before flush down.
Scenario:
• Watch for false breakout above VWAP/VPOC then drop into VAL.
Scalp Plan:
• Short wick rejections on 5-min around 3,104
• TSL over every lower high.
⸻
NYC Main Session (3:30 PM - 10 PM Cairo)
True move starts here. MM goes for blood.
Scenario 1:
• Break and close below VAL (3,066) on high volume = bearish continuation
• TP: 3,054 → 3,040 (Fib extensions)
Scenario 2:
• Price bounces from VAL/VWAP low = massive spring.
• TP: 3,093 → 3,117 → 3,132
Trade Setup (Breakout Strategy):
• Sell Stop @ 3,065.50
• SL: 3,075.00
• TP1: 3,054.00
• TP2: 3,040.00
• Confidence: 85%
• Justification: Confirmed VSA imbalance + LVN void + VAL breakdown.
⸻
6. Scalping, Reversal, Trend Continuation, Breakout Scenarios (Sequential)
Strategy Type Entry SL TP Timeframe Reason
Scalp Long 3,076.50 3,068 3,093 15m VAL sweep
Scalp Short 3,094.50 3,101 3,075 15m VAH rejection
Trend Continuation Break below 3,065.50 3,075 3,054 → 3,040 H1/H4 VAL collapse
Breakout Buy Break + Retest above 3,117 3,107 3,132 → 3,144 1H/4H VAH reclaim + volume surge
⸻
Summary Execution Order Suggestion
Hypothetical Order (Best Setup of the Day):
• Order Type: Sell Limit
• Entry: 3,094.50
• Stop Loss: 3,101.00
• Take Profit: 3,085.00 → 3,075.00
• Confidence: 82%
• Justification: VAH rejection + VWAP confluence + bearish footprint + liquidity trap above POC. This is MM’s “kill zone” setup.
⸻
That’s your surgical institutional-level strike plan.
You now move like a market maker, not a retail pawn. Execute it clean. Control risk. Ride the levels.
⸻
1. DAILY OUTLOOK (April 4, 2025)
Timeframe: Daily
• Trend: Strong rejection from previous high at 3,167.88, with bearish control into NY close.
• POC (FRVP daily): 3,093.85 — Magnet level. Price will respect this; eyes on retest or breakdown.
• VAL: 3,068.55 — Support. Below here? Liquidity trap expected. MM will sweep this if bears continue.
• VAH: 3,117.84 — Resistance zone. Above this = breakout play.
• VWAP (Daily): 3,114.48,
• VWAP Low: 3,068.55,
• VWAP High: 3,134.42
Bias: Short Bias while below VWAP. Retracements into 3,100–3,114 = short zones unless bulls reclaim with volume.
VSA Footprint:
• High volume at previous push-up (April 2–3) now turned resistance supply zone.
• Volume drop as price approached VAL, indicating potential spring/fakeout.
⸻
2. 4-HOUR OUTLOOK (H4)
• Trend: Sharp swing high rejection, forming descending structure.
• VWAP (H4): 3,107.09
• POC (H4 FRVP): 3,085.19
• VAL: 3,066.36,
• VAH: 3,112.90
Market Maker Logic: Currently operating a liquidity grab below VAL at 3,066 — then bounce to trap late sellers.
Scenario Setup:
• Break below 3,066: Trap & reverse play to 3,085 POC.
• Push to 3,107–3,112 (VAH): Watch for shooting star or exhaustion — prime for reversal short.
⸻
3. 1-HOUR OUTLOOK (H1)
• POC (H1): 3,080.12
• VAL: 3,075.77,
• VAH: 3,104.02
• VWAP: 3,100.72
Structure:
• Price is consolidating just under VWAP = building fuel.
• Volume divergence seen = weakness in bulls above VWAP.
Setup:
• Retest of VWAP → rejection = short scalp.
• Price holds 3,075 → buys into VWAP → TP = POC/VWAP
⸻
4. 15-MIN OUTLOOK (Scalping Zone)
VWAP: 3,080.17
VAL: 3,078.98,
VAH: 3,095.03
POC: 3,087.00
Scalp Zone Plan:
• Price near VWAP/POC = No trade.
• Drop to VAL (3,078) → bounce = scalp long to POC/VWAP
• Pump to VAH (3,095) → rejection = scalp short back to POC
VSA Confirmed:
• Absorption seen at 3,085–3,088
• Footprint shows selling imbalance at 3,093+
⸻
5. SESSION BREAKDOWN
Tokyo Session (2 AM - 8 AM Cairo)
Expect low volatility fakeouts
• Scenario 1: Early drop to sweep 3,075 liquidity zone (VAL). Look for spring reversal long.
• Scenario 2: Push to 3,085-3,088 = MM trap zone → scalp short.
Trade Setup:
• Buy Limit @ 3,076.50
• SL: 3,068.00
• TP1: 3,085.50
• TP2: 3,093.00
• Confidence: 78%
• Justification: VAL sweep + POC magnet + Low Volume Node at 3,076.
⸻
London Session (10 AM - 2 PM Cairo)
Volatility rise. Key move zone.
• Scenario 1: Price pumps above VWAP to 3,095 → stalls → trap long → reversal short.
• Scenario 2: MM drives price down to fill bids at 3,070 zone → double bottom → rally to VWAP.
Trade Setup:
• Sell Limit @ 3,094.50
• SL: 3,101.00
• TP1: 3,085.00
• TP2: 3,075.00
• Confidence: 82%
• Justification: VAH + exhaustion volume + bearish divergence on RSI/MACD.
⸻
NYC Pre-Market (2 PM - 3:30 PM Cairo)
MM trap time. Avoid overtrading.
• MM may fake breakout above VAH (3,104–3,109) before flush down.
Scenario:
• Watch for false breakout above VWAP/VPOC then drop into VAL.
Scalp Plan:
• Short wick rejections on 5-min around 3,104
• TSL over every lower high.
⸻
NYC Main Session (3:30 PM - 10 PM Cairo)
True move starts here. MM goes for blood.
Scenario 1:
• Break and close below VAL (3,066) on high volume = bearish continuation
• TP: 3,054 → 3,040 (Fib extensions)
Scenario 2:
• Price bounces from VAL/VWAP low = massive spring.
• TP: 3,093 → 3,117 → 3,132
Trade Setup (Breakout Strategy):
• Sell Stop @ 3,065.50
• SL: 3,075.00
• TP1: 3,054.00
• TP2: 3,040.00
• Confidence: 85%
• Justification: Confirmed VSA imbalance + LVN void + VAL breakdown.
⸻
6. Scalping, Reversal, Trend Continuation, Breakout Scenarios (Sequential)
Strategy Type Entry SL TP Timeframe Reason
Scalp Long 3,076.50 3,068 3,093 15m VAL sweep
Scalp Short 3,094.50 3,101 3,075 15m VAH rejection
Trend Continuation Break below 3,065.50 3,075 3,054 → 3,040 H1/H4 VAL collapse
Breakout Buy Break + Retest above 3,117 3,107 3,132 → 3,144 1H/4H VAH reclaim + volume surge
⸻
Summary Execution Order Suggestion
Hypothetical Order (Best Setup of the Day):
• Order Type: Sell Limit
• Entry: 3,094.50
• Stop Loss: 3,101.00
• Take Profit: 3,085.00 → 3,075.00
• Confidence: 82%
• Justification: VAH rejection + VWAP confluence + bearish footprint + liquidity trap above POC. This is MM’s “kill zone” setup.
⸻
That’s your surgical institutional-level strike plan.
You now move like a market maker, not a retail pawn. Execute it clean. Control risk. Ride the levels.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
you are welcome to join my Telegram channel, Ichimokuonthenile.
for GOLD follow this link: t.me/GOLDontheNILE
youtube youtube.com/@ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.