This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Firstly, we would suggest traders stay away from this NFP altogether, the markets are very delicate and moving to extreme levels not only on Gold but most forex pairs. For that reason we’ll keep it simple and look at the key levels together with the structure formed.
We have the higher resistance level here which is the previous order region 2930-35 which looks to be a potential region price may want to attack if they want to continue this move upside, above that is the extension of the move around 2945-55. Price needs to stay below this level, If we can reject and not break above these levels, an opportunity to see the market correct may be available back down in attempt to break 2900 level.
On the flip, if they push price downside, we’ll wait, the range needs to be broken, price should want to retest the flip and then continue the move, that’s when we can start using the red boxes to target those lower levels and potentially look for the swing low from the circled hotspot.
As above, keep it simple, the trade comes after the event and most accounts are blown during these events due to traders using large lots on small accounts attempting to capture the volume driven candles. Unless you’re already in and protected, the swing in the opposite direction can cause huge problems to less experienced traders.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2930 for 2934, 2940, 2944 and 2955 in extension of the move Break below 2910 for 2903, 2895, 2890 and 2879 in extension of the move
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.