Gold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190).
🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks.
✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation.
🔹 Target Zones:
📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high).
📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure.
Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment.
🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend.
📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze.
📌 Liquidity Data:
Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest.
Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events
📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD:
📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD.
📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback.
📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold.
✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis:
ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility.
High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area.
Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup
✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias.
✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement.
✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190).
🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks.
✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation.
🔹 Target Zones:
📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high).
📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure.
Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment.
🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend.
📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze.
📌 Liquidity Data:
Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest.
Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events
📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD:
📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD.
📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback.
📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold.
✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis:
ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility.
High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area.
Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup
✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias.
✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement.
✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.