GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Aug 04 - Aug 08]

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This week, the price of XAUUSD fell sharply from $3,345/oz to $3,268/oz after the FED Chairman said that the FED has no plans to cut interest rates at the upcoming September meeting. However, at the end of the week, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the number of non-farm jobs (NFP) in the US reached only 73,000 jobs in July, much lower than the forecast, and the unemployment rate increased higher, up to 4.2%. This pushed the price of gold up sharply from $3,281/oz to $3,363/oz.

The weak labor market has significantly changed expectations for the Fed's interest rate.

With a relatively light economic data calendar next week, investors will continue to monitor Friday's jobless claims report. Meanwhile, some analysts predict that the risk of global economic uncertainty after President Donald Trump announced new tariffs will continue to boost safe-haven demand for gold.

GOLD falls sharply, fundamental analysis and technical position


📌Technically, the resistance level for gold next week will be the round resistance of 3,400 USD/oz, followed by 3,440 USD/oz. Meanwhile, the support level is around 3,268 USD/oz.
Perspective on the H4 chart, gold is currently in a corrective recovery cycle testing the Trendline, it is likely that early next week there will be an increase around 3375 and then a correction decrease again.

Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,323 – 3,310 – 3,300USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD


SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3394 - 3392⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3398

BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3310 - 3312⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3306

Note
Last Friday (August 1), spot gold prices rose 2.23% to a one-week high of $3,363.37/ounce as a weaker-than-expected US non-farm payrolls report for July, coupled with concerns over new tax policies from the Trump administration, boosted demand for safe havens.
Note
After data shock, GOLD has bullish conditions again
Note
Spot gold today, after consolidating at high levels, has now rebounded ahead of the US session and reached $3,370. In terms of actual buy/sell orders, 50.7% of orders were buy and 49.3% were sell, indicating that the sentiment is still slightly bullish.
Note
▫️Spot gold hit $3,380 an ounce, up 0.19% on the day.
Note
🔴Spot gold surpassed the threshold of 3,390 USD/ounce, up 0.48% on the day.

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