From the current market, the unexpected plunge of gold not only caused the 2900 mark consolidated last week to be lost again, but also formed a weak daily line to close sharply, and the closing of 2882 made the advantages accumulated by the bulls vanish. However, although gold has lost its upward advantage at present, I do not recommend being overly bearish or chasing shorts this week!
Because firstly, the overnight gold price plunge was not caused by the essential reason, but was stimulated by the outside world, which triggered the market to sell. In this case, the follow-up force is difficult to maintain;
Second, the decline trend on Friday and Tuesday is somewhat similar. Although the possibility of a lower test cannot be ruled out, with the break of the 2900 mark, the support strength obtained by the bulls will become stronger;
Third, in addition to the known fundamentals that are favorable to gold, the current gold ETF holdings are still rising, which means that the market is still enthusiastic about buying gold, so it is optimistic that the gold price will return to the 2900 mark this week.
From a technical perspective, the weekly line has rarely risen for 8 consecutive weeks. Last week, a rising candle with a long upper shadow line was closed, which is favorable for the shorts. However, given that other periodic indicators maintain a bullish arrangement, the Bollinger Bands are running upward as a whole, and the weekly level is generally biased towards the bulls.
In terms of the 4-hour level, after the obstructed decline on Friday this week, the short-term moving average has completed a downward turn, and the short-term moving average extends downward in a dead cross pattern. Among them, the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average overlap in the 2908 area, forming a double suppression. The Bollinger overall intends to open, and the MACD indicator dead cross downward pattern shows sufficient downward momentum. From this point of view, the 4-hour level is still dominated by the shorts. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on rebound selling, supplemented by retracement buying!
Key points:
First support: 2873, second support: 2862, third support: 2853
First resistance: 2893, second resistance: 2900, third resistance: 2908
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2865-2868, SL: 2857, TP: 2890-2900;
SELL: 2897-2900, SL: 2908, TP: 2870-2860;