Gold Market Analysis & Outlook
Weekly Overview with Technical & Fundamental Insights
Fundamental Overview
Weekly Time Frame Bullish Trend Intact
weekly time frame shows a clear bullish trend with no bearish momentum. with found support on this trend line.
Daily Time Frame – Sideways Consolidation
Range Bound Market: Gold has been consolidating, awaiting a breakout.
Liquidity Grab: Price took liquidity at 2930 after news releases before returning inside the range.
moving down to the 4 hr time we can see the consolidation a lot clearer. i expect a breakdown from this consolidation before a bullish continuation.
Key Level to Watch: 2880 aligns with trendline support and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, making it a high-probability long entry.
Resistance Structure: The top of the range is reinforced by a downtrend line and strong resistance, increasing the likelihood of rejection.
Stagflation & Its Impact on Gold
What is Stagflation?
A combination of high inflation, slow economic growth, and rising unemployment.
Historically, stagflation drives investors to safe-haven assets like gold.
How It Affects Gold?
✔ Inflation Hedge: Gold preserves value when purchasing power declines.
✔ Economic Uncertainty: Market instability increases gold demand.
✔ Interest Rate Policy: If central banks cut rates to support growth, gold prices benefit.
📌 Historical Context:
The 1970s stagflation crisis saw gold rally over 2,000%, proving its strength in uncertain times.
Short-Term Expectation
Watch for a breakdown from the range before considering long entries.
Ideal Buy Zone: 2880, supported by trendline, Fibonacci 0.618, and previous structure.
2877 also offers a very strong level.
Long-Term Expectation
If 2880 area holds, expect a push back toward 2930 and potentially new highs.
📌 Key Takeaways
✅ Weekly trend remains bullish no signs of reversal.
✅ Consolidation suggests a breakout is imminent likely downward first, then bullish continuation.
✅ Fundamentals align with gold strength stagflation fears, economic slowdown, and central bank uncertainty war, Trump.
✅ 2880 to 2877 is a key zone to watch, confluence of support factors makes it an ideal long entry.
🎯 Patience is key—wait for confirmations and let the setup develop!
Weekly Overview with Technical & Fundamental Insights
Fundamental Overview
- Stagflation Concerns: Slowing global economic growth combined with high inflation is keeping investors cautious.
- Federal Reserve Stance: Markets anticipate potential rate cuts later this year, which could boost gold prices.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Tensions in major economies and election cycles add to gold’s safe-haven appeal.
- US Dollar & Inflation: A weakening USD and persistent inflation continue to support gold’s long-term bullish trend.
Weekly Time Frame Bullish Trend Intact
weekly time frame shows a clear bullish trend with no bearish momentum. with found support on this trend line.
Daily Time Frame – Sideways Consolidation
Range Bound Market: Gold has been consolidating, awaiting a breakout.
Liquidity Grab: Price took liquidity at 2930 after news releases before returning inside the range.
moving down to the 4 hr time we can see the consolidation a lot clearer. i expect a breakdown from this consolidation before a bullish continuation.
Key Level to Watch: 2880 aligns with trendline support and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, making it a high-probability long entry.
Resistance Structure: The top of the range is reinforced by a downtrend line and strong resistance, increasing the likelihood of rejection.
Stagflation & Its Impact on Gold
What is Stagflation?
A combination of high inflation, slow economic growth, and rising unemployment.
Historically, stagflation drives investors to safe-haven assets like gold.
How It Affects Gold?
✔ Inflation Hedge: Gold preserves value when purchasing power declines.
✔ Economic Uncertainty: Market instability increases gold demand.
✔ Interest Rate Policy: If central banks cut rates to support growth, gold prices benefit.
📌 Historical Context:
The 1970s stagflation crisis saw gold rally over 2,000%, proving its strength in uncertain times.
Short-Term Expectation
Watch for a breakdown from the range before considering long entries.
Ideal Buy Zone: 2880, supported by trendline, Fibonacci 0.618, and previous structure.
2877 also offers a very strong level.
Long-Term Expectation
If 2880 area holds, expect a push back toward 2930 and potentially new highs.
📌 Key Takeaways
✅ Weekly trend remains bullish no signs of reversal.
✅ Consolidation suggests a breakout is imminent likely downward first, then bullish continuation.
✅ Fundamentals align with gold strength stagflation fears, economic slowdown, and central bank uncertainty war, Trump.
✅ 2880 to 2877 is a key zone to watch, confluence of support factors makes it an ideal long entry.
🎯 Patience is key—wait for confirmations and let the setup develop!
Trade closed: target reached
full target smashed
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.