Why XAUUSD is near to $1970 ?
In the short term, gold prices have been observed to fluctuate within a range of $1970 to $2000 per ounce. This range aligns with the levels of the 61% and 78% Fibonacci retracement, respectively, relative to the previous downtrend wave. The fact that gold prices are currently trading within this range indicates uncertainty regarding the market's direction.
Traders and investors are awaiting a clear confirmation or signal that would indicate a definitive direction for the gold market. Until such confirmation is received, it is challenging to determine whether the market is establishing a clear trend. The price movement within the Fibonacci retracement levels suggests a period of consolidation or indecision, where market participants are assessing the next potential move.
During such phases of uncertainty, traders often look for additional technical indicators, chart patterns, or fundamental catalysts to provide more clarity on the market's direction. It is essential to exercise caution and wait for a clear confirmation before making significant trading decisions, as a breakout from the current range could signal the start of a new trend.
The decline in the price of gold can be attributed to the current optimistic market sentiment, which has caused investors to shift their capital towards other assets that carry more risk.
One of the factors contributing to the reduced demand for gold is the resurgence in US Treasury yields. The 10-year US Treasury yield has rebounded from a six-week low observed on Friday and currently stands at 4.645%. The increase in US bond yields has strengthened the US Dollar (USD), as The DXY is currently trading near 105.40.
This overall market environment, characterized by positive sentiment and rising bond yields, has put downward pressure on the price of gold. Investors are likely reallocating their investments towards assets that offer potentially higher returns in line with the current market conditions.
Furthermore, the World Gold Council (WGC) recently released a report indicating that central banks worldwide acquired a combined 337 metric tons of gold in the third quarter. Year-to-date, these banks have added an impressive 800 tons to their reserves. Notably, emerging markets have been the primary buyers, showcasing a continued trend of diversification away from the US dollar.
Overall, the improved investor sentiment, speculation about the Fed's monetary policy, and continued gold purchases by central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have contributed to the recent uptick in bullion prices. However, the situation in the Middle East has had a slight impact on gold outflows.
Traders and investors are awaiting a clear confirmation or signal that would indicate a definitive direction for the gold market. Until such confirmation is received, it is challenging to determine whether the market is establishing a clear trend. The price movement within the Fibonacci retracement levels suggests a period of consolidation or indecision, where market participants are assessing the next potential move.
During such phases of uncertainty, traders often look for additional technical indicators, chart patterns, or fundamental catalysts to provide more clarity on the market's direction. It is essential to exercise caution and wait for a clear confirmation before making significant trading decisions, as a breakout from the current range could signal the start of a new trend.
The decline in the price of gold can be attributed to the current optimistic market sentiment, which has caused investors to shift their capital towards other assets that carry more risk.
One of the factors contributing to the reduced demand for gold is the resurgence in US Treasury yields. The 10-year US Treasury yield has rebounded from a six-week low observed on Friday and currently stands at 4.645%. The increase in US bond yields has strengthened the US Dollar (USD), as The DXY is currently trading near 105.40.
This overall market environment, characterized by positive sentiment and rising bond yields, has put downward pressure on the price of gold. Investors are likely reallocating their investments towards assets that offer potentially higher returns in line with the current market conditions.
Furthermore, the World Gold Council (WGC) recently released a report indicating that central banks worldwide acquired a combined 337 metric tons of gold in the third quarter. Year-to-date, these banks have added an impressive 800 tons to their reserves. Notably, emerging markets have been the primary buyers, showcasing a continued trend of diversification away from the US dollar.
Overall, the improved investor sentiment, speculation about the Fed's monetary policy, and continued gold purchases by central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have contributed to the recent uptick in bullion prices. However, the situation in the Middle East has had a slight impact on gold outflows.
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