Fed Cuts vs Safe-Haven: Gold Short-Term Pressure, Long-Term Bull

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On Tuesday, the U.S. April CPI was mild😉. Both core and headline inflation were below expectations😮. Markets now bet the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 53 basis points cumulatively in 2025😏, with the first cut possibly in September😉. Lower interest rates are bullish for gold📈, but weakening safe - haven demand and strengthening risk assets have suppressed gains😔. Easing Russia - Ukraine tensions and a $600 billion U.S. - Saudi trade deal have added pressure on gold prices📉.

Technical analysis of gold: The daily chart forms an M - head pattern📉, with 3200 as the key bullish support level🔍. If the price fails to close above this level, further declines may follow😟. A significant technical breakdown has occurred, requiring a shift in trading strategy😕. While gold can rise rapidly, declines can be equally sharp😖. However, the long - term upward trend remains intact, and pullbacks may offer buying opportunities—though specific entry levels need to be monitored with market developments and are hard to predict currently🤔. In the short term, consider shorting near 3200📉. If 3200 is breached, even rebounds could be opportunities to follow the bearish trend😏. On upward retracements, target the Fibonacci resistance level of 3265 for short positions📊

⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️

🚀 Sell@3220 - 3200
🚀 TP 3180 - 3160

🚀 Buy@3160 - 3175
🚀 TP 3200 - 3220

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