✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11 - 15/9/2023
🔥 World situation:
Towards the conclusion of the week, the XAU/USD experienced mild declines, hovering around $1,918. Silver suffered a significant loss of 5%, while Gold saw a slight decline of nearly 1%, primarily due to increasing US yields, which are raising expectations for potential tightening measures by the Federal Reserve.
This can be attributed to the fact that precious metals are often viewed as an opportunity cost for holding non-yielding metals. On Friday, US Treasury yields continued their upward trend and solidified their weekly gains. The 2-year yields currently stand at 4.99%, with rates of 4.40% and 4.26% for the 5-year and 10-year respectively. Although these rates experienced modest increases during the session, they restricted Gold from making significant advances on that particular day.
Looking ahead to next week, investors eagerly anticipate key economic indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales figures from August in order to make informed decisions regarding future actions by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Currently, market expectations point towards a probable increase of 25 basis points (bps) before year-end; however there is uncertainty whether this hike will occur in November or December. Consequently, upcoming data releases in relation to US economic performance will greatly assist investors in refining their projections and shaping their anticipations accordingly.
🔥 Identify:
With last week's PMI results being good for the dollar, US inflation indicators being positive, and a certain optimism in the economy is the main reason why gold prices continue to lose value.
It is predicted that this week with a lot of important news, there will be many big fluctuations, but the downtrend is still the priority.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $1930, $1950, $1975
Support : $1910, $1885, $1850, Prioritize the downward trend in price
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest