Possible long position

Updated
This is not meant to be exact in any way, nor guarenteed. But I would give it a 80% probability that the price when the next 12h candle closes after the current one (about 18h15m from now); the price will be lower then the price is currently. My rough guess is the indicated on the chart of that bottom when that 12h closes. If im correct and the price is down to atleast around $10,850 when that 12h candle closes then i would give it a 95% chance that the following 12h candle will close at $11,000+
Note
I bought in at $10622 soon after I posted this when the next 4h candle after i posted this dropped hard. Things look very on track for my prediction upto this point. If my theory is correct then the day candle will close between $10,925-$11,200 in 5.5h from now
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