Ok, so the most probable path looks to be a no go, although a version of it is still possible. Their are basically two bull paths at this point.
1.) we get to the Top line market day close by Saturday close
2.) we stay down here and go sideways, even possibly dip again for a few days or go up a bit for a few days and dip back down to around $8700-$8800 and start the next run up next Wednesday March 11th at day close. With a smaller chance of starting it on March 10th day close but being at a higher price of around $9200 when Tuesday closes.
Also the chance we have gone bear of course but for now that is a very small possibility as I see it.
I will update when appropriate