There will be a global recession and
a credit crunch will cause financial
system stress. Central banks will take rates
into extreme negative territory and
print money like there is no tomorrow.
Bitcoin will reach a new all time high,
somewhere between 40K and 50K,
before there is a coordinated crack down
from governments.
(The chart shows there have been similar movements in the bitcoin price in the past before an ATH event. I loaded my bags in the purple stage, but the green stage offered a last chance to buy up on the cheap before we sprint up toward a new all time high.)
Bitcoin's performance is finally going to be tested in the context of a global recession and financial crisis. This is what we have been preparing for. I fear not whether bitcoin's price will go up (I am sure it will), but of the social costs of this new recession and financial crisis. Western countries are in a bad way, much worse than we realise right now. The chickens coming home to roost and things might get so bad that being rich is useless. But that is a topic for another day. For now, yes bitcoin will ATH this year, almost no doubt about it.