This is a conservative educated guess, there are several different factors such as circulating supply and if stellar is selling coins going into the parabolic phase. XLM was surprised due to the XRP lawsuit and now we have clarity in the United States. We have found support in the in the 0.13 range which is a support XLM has never hit before the halving.
The chart shows the first halving while XLM is on the open market (BTC's second halving) July 9th, 2016 and 8-9 months after a 45x in the price from the price at the halving to market peek.
BTC's third halving is XLM's second time with the halving is May 11th, 2020, the XRP lawsuit started Dec 2020 which slowed all the X coins. 8 months after the halving XLM did a 10X.
There is a horizontal line, that just shows where we are based on previous market cycle, I took the tops of both and drew a line between them and then placed it on our current month and it shows where we were right before 2020.
As we get closer to the halving the 7/8 months prior we usually trend up with no parabolic runs until after the halving. March 2024 BTC halving is now 8 months away and we enter our slow uptrend.
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I'm starting to realize this is all a lot like gardening, may times you plant bulbs and trees for what they produce in the future and not instant gratification. Plant fruit trees that will produce fruit in 4/5 years, perennials that don't come in at there full potential for 3 years. If you can buy and hold you might also like to garden to release some stress. Peace and blessing to all! - KILOZ ONE