Complementary study of my xrpusd and btcusd studies
Also note that we are also looking at a giant cup & handle lasting two years. If you sold long ago xrp, it might be time to put it back on your watchlist. Elliott wave analysis also has a biais toward bullish scenario. Time analysis has a bearish biais
3 - 2 for the bulls
Wyckoff accumulation. We are waiting for "Spring". The longer we need to wait, the more bearish.
Black vertical line is the time limit for it to trigger.
Blue thick line is uptrend from last year
Touching 0.000104 and then going back down confirms the descending triangle, going much more above (0.00012 targeted) and holding above 0.000104 is a confirmation of Wyckoff
d.stockcharts.com/school/data/media/chart_school/market_analysis/wyckoff3/wyckoffaccumulation.png
You can see the pattern. We would be in "phase C"
However, be careful, ETHBTC trapped a lot of people with a similar pattern (at 0.07 btc support, during last year)
Also note that we are also looking at a giant cup & handle lasting two years. If you sold long ago xrp, it might be time to put it back on your watchlist. Elliott wave analysis also has a biais toward bullish scenario. Time analysis has a bearish biais
3 - 2 for the bulls
Wyckoff accumulation. We are waiting for "Spring". The longer we need to wait, the more bearish.
Black vertical line is the time limit for it to trigger.
Blue thick line is uptrend from last year
Touching 0.000104 and then going back down confirms the descending triangle, going much more above (0.00012 targeted) and holding above 0.000104 is a confirmation of Wyckoff
d.stockcharts.com/school/data/media/chart_school/market_analysis/wyckoff3/wyckoffaccumulation.png
You can see the pattern. We would be in "phase C"
However, be careful, ETHBTC trapped a lot of people with a similar pattern (at 0.07 btc support, during last year)
Note
XRPBTC just entered the potential Spring reversal area. Watch closely for a reactionNote
Very bad reactiondownside reached a 80% probability. Meaning even if xrpusd goes up, it is more likely having BTC will be a better deal in the medium term. Still expect a huge upside from xrp to 0.00035 and above, but this target now seems in a far future (2019?)
Will make a new XRPBTC very long term analysis as soon as bitcoin starts a new trend (above 12900 or below 8000)
I will put alarms until march 11th at 0.00009100 btc level to see signs of reversals, but biais is bearish
Note
I am personally now out of the tradeMid term is still bearish, and I will buy back if we get a good reaction in the next day
For those who missed the #xrpbtc / #xrpusd run, please take a look at stellar lumens #xlmbtc #xlmusd ( also called #strbtc #strusd on some exchanges)
Its fundamentals, founder, and business plan are very similar, and they often follow each other in bull runs, like they did right now. However...The XLM / XRP chart suggest that xlm will soon once again outperform XRP.
So if they can keep uptrend against btc ( meaning IF xrpbtc closing today daily above 0.00009100 - 0.00009200 btc), I advise to consider switching to XLM instead for a greater % yield
Note
scalpers are in 4% profit#xrpbtc holding above critical bearish confirmation, with a decent 0.78 fib bounce, but nothing impressive
#xrpusd landed on uptrend, and is waiting for btc's approval
Risky traders (not investors) could try a buy (or holding the scalp) with a 0.00008250 or 0.00008050 stop loss for the dead cat bounce or trend reversal
Trade closed: target reached
Scalp closed at 8660 for 2.7 additional %Will wait better entries and BTC's move. I consider this idea closed, with the bearish situation in play
Stay frosty
Note
xrp suspiciously strong. Keep an eye, time is almost up but fight is not over (11th march is deadline)Disclaimer
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.