In the cryptocurrency world where speculation is king, technical analysis most of the time is our best friend.
Here is a simple scenario where XVGBTC touched the 61.80% retracement level, possibly a big resistance. A nice opportunity to enter, aiming to the 161.80% extension level.
(You can set up stop loss a few points below 78.60% level - where I find this optional, specially in these crypto markets).