Long

Daily 4XSetUps - YM1! In A Bullish Sideway Trend

2025/02/09 - 6th Calendar Week
Daily 4XSetUps - YM1! In A Bullish Sideway Trend
“there has been a trump rally for 13 trading days!
will the rally hold this week? why? what next?”

As I have already stated and written over the course of the week: "Our Dax has really, I mean really, really grown up!" - from the Comeback Kid is a serious, solid index with 40 leading, diverse listed companies that represent our German economy. So, regardless of the whole Trump issue, he reached a new alltime high on Friday - but also gave up a little of the points he had gained. In the end there was a minus of -0.53% to 21,787.00 points. The all-time high is 21,945 points. On a weekly basis, the German leading index remains a gain of a meager +0.25%. Hardly anyone expected this on Monday. But traders and/or investors had digested the first shock due to US President Donald Trump's tariff policy by Thursday, February 6th, 2025 at the latest, with a return to record levels. The US labor market data published the following Friday did not provide any new impetus for the German stock market. "The US unemployment rate dipped by 0.1 percentage point to 4.0% in January 2025, marking its lowest level since May and coming in just below market expectations of 4.1%. The number of unemployed individuals declined by 37,000 to 6.85 million, while employment edged up by 2,234 to 163.9 million." Because the unemployment rate fell - while fewer new jobs were created than expected. "The US economy added 143K jobs in January 2025, well below an upwardly revised 307K gain in December and forecasts of 170K. Job gains occurred in health care (44K), retail trade (34K), and social assistance (22K) and government employment continued to trend up (32K)." So Europe's stock exchanges also posted losses on Friday. Especially in the late afternoon, things went down with the increasing weakness of the US stock markets. The EuroStoxx 50 closed with a loss of -0.58% to 5,325.40 points, just above the daily low. Over the course of the week, the Euro Region's leading index only rose by +0.7%. The Swiss SMI fell -0.24% to 12,593.34 points on Friday and the British FTSE 100 lost -0.31% to 8,700.53 points. “The DAX is showing investors these days that it is not politics that moves prices, but rather company profits,” said CMC Markets expert Jochen Stanzl. "Be in to win - according to this motto, investors seem to be buying now and only dealing with Trump later," he added. For a long time, traders and investors have feared that the US President will also raise tariffs on the European Union.

Something else fundamental! I don't know what you're thinking about Trump basically, but he has only been in office for 3 full calendar weeks - and it feels like it's been three months! Or? Last week, Bernd Förtsch, editor of the German weekly magazine “Der Aktionär” summed up the Trump method briefly and succinctly in his commentary. Be sure to read it - because the world will not fail tomorrow because of Trump. On the contrary, volatility on the financial market is increasing. And everybody is feeling full lively around him, while his present. I don't know if this is statistically proven? But it feels like there's more going on with Trump than without him!

“He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass.”
Ray Dalio

45227 : 2025/01/31 - All Time High
44421 : 2025/02/07 - last price action
43965 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day High
42416 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day Low
41873 : 2024/10/31 - October 2024 Low
41791 : 2024/11/04 - November 2024 Low
Basically, traders and/or investors move the in a bullish sideways trend. Sideways trend? Yes - look at the intraday day when Donald Trump was re-elected! Bullish? Yes - because the price action (so far) has hardly fallen below it, but rather always tries to break out upwards. But admittedly it hasn't made it significant yet. That's why I truly like the formulation of a bullish sideways trend! You too? Be that as it may, what is crucial for the first one is that the price action remains above November 6th, 2024, at 43965 points. So that the positive bullish basic expectation is confirmed. And because the previous historical high, from January 31, 2025, with 45227 points, was and is only 1232 points above the high on Trump's election day - when it went up by 1549 points - we can assume that there is pressure in the cauldron. The calm before the storm! A bull breakout? A recapture of the bears’ price action? I don't know! But it remains exciting. And we are within this long 4XSetUp.

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50000 : 2025/12/30 - Target Price
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44421 : 2025/02/07 - last price action
43681 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
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40000 - 2025/06/30 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron

“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.

Devise2Day

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