I am anticipating a down doji year of 2025 with the high being put in place now. I am expecting a deep pullback to 40,000, followed by a sharp rally back up to the 2025 open of 43,000 and a slow, retracement to close the year at 42,000.
This will give the year a -2.5% return this year.
2026 I am expecting a massive bullish year after this doji year. I am expecting price to open at 42,000 and rip to 48,000-50,000.
Price needs to consolidate, rest and build up strength for the next major rip. 2025, I believe, is not it. One of the biggest clues for me is the post-election exhaustion candle right into the highs and the fact is has little to no follow through. It is THE BIGGEST bar since 2023.
40,000 just happens to be 50% of this move higher
Using the Daily ATR Volatility, you can see volatility has been increasing in the current up channel. Yes, this is a lagging indicator but when it gets back up to the 780 mark, the low will be nearly in place. Let us see if this lines up with the start of 2026
Overall, this is my gameplan for the next two years and I am holding firm until it is invalidated on me.
In summary,
Selling off of 45,000 to dump down to 40,000 in a range consolidation year. Choppy and Whippy. 2025 a doji year.
2026 opens strong and rips to 48,000-50,000
This will give the year a -2.5% return this year.
2026 I am expecting a massive bullish year after this doji year. I am expecting price to open at 42,000 and rip to 48,000-50,000.
Price needs to consolidate, rest and build up strength for the next major rip. 2025, I believe, is not it. One of the biggest clues for me is the post-election exhaustion candle right into the highs and the fact is has little to no follow through. It is THE BIGGEST bar since 2023.
40,000 just happens to be 50% of this move higher
Using the Daily ATR Volatility, you can see volatility has been increasing in the current up channel. Yes, this is a lagging indicator but when it gets back up to the 780 mark, the low will be nearly in place. Let us see if this lines up with the start of 2026
Overall, this is my gameplan for the next two years and I am holding firm until it is invalidated on me.
In summary,
Selling off of 45,000 to dump down to 40,000 in a range consolidation year. Choppy and Whippy. 2025 a doji year.
2026 opens strong and rips to 48,000-50,000
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.