Long

Daily 4XSetUps - Fundamental Upside Trend In YM1! Is Intact

2025/02/16 - 7th Calendar Week
Daily 4XSetUps - Fundamental Upside Trend In YM1! Is Intact
“upward trend from annual lows of 2024 & 2025 is going well!
where are important price action areas? bullish? bearish?”

Our German Dax let some pressure out of the cauldron on Friday after its latest record hunt. At the end of Xetra trading, our leading German index fell by -0.44% to 22,513.42 points. For the MDax our german index of medium-sized companies only fell by -0.36% to 27,659.84 points. The latest record rally in the Dax with prices above 22,600 points warns investors to be cautious in the new stock market week. After an increase of more than +13% since the beginning of 2025, our German leading barometer is now considered to be running hot. A correction to recent gains would not be a surprise. Investors have recently taken a calm approach to tariff threats from the USA. Strong quarterly figures, the continued equity-friendly interest rate policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the lower valuations of European securities compared to US stocks have provided support. Nevertheless, we are letting our long 4XSetUps from the DAX continue to run, with the corresponding stop prices and/or target prices - namely . Although, in contrast to the Dow Jones , almost all market indicators point to an impending correction - for a few days and/or even two or three weeks. It seems that the almost daily record highs in the DAX alone remain the strongest selling point for investors. Anyway, it's all about the choice - as in any indices! But who am I telling this to when you follow me every day? Nevertheless, the DAX could now correct significantly without endangering the longer-term upward trend - in contrast to the Dow Jones , which could finally break out upwards. after traders and/or investors as well as investors sent the price action back above the zone of the whale night of November 6th, 2025. And since then the index has lingered like a shaken bottle of carbonated acid - to finally break out with bullish momentum upwards or bearish momentum downwards.

“U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance delivered a rebuke on immigration and alleged censorship to a shocked Munich Security Conference”. The focus was on the Munich Security Conference, where the US government's new direction in the Ukraine conflict could become clear this weekend. US Vice President J.D. Vance called for a quick but lasting peace in Ukraine at a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on the sidelines of the conference. However, speaking on Friday, the US Vice President said that the greatest danger for Europe comes not from Russia or China but from within, accusing Europe of turning its back on its most fundamental values. What is happening with the transatlantic relationship? I don't know! Anyway, here is a brief overview of how the press in Europe reacted to it.

“I saw that to do exceptionally well you have to push your limits and that, if you push your limits, you will crash and it will hurt a lot. You will think you have failed—but that won’t be true unless you give up.”
Ray Dalio

45227 : 2025/01/31 - Annual High 2025
45176 : 2024/12/04 - Annual High 2024
44421 : 2025/02/07 - last price action
43965 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day High
42416 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day Low
41873 : 2024/10/31 - October 2024 Low
41791 : 2024/11/04 - November 2024 Low
Basically, traders and/or investors move the in a bullish sideways trend, since Donald Trump was reelected, on the 6th November 2024. Sideways trend? Yes - look at the intraday day when Donald Trump was re-elected! Bullish? Yes - because the price action (so far) has hardly fallen below it, but rather always tries to break out upwards. It is easy to see in the chart that before the re-election, the low was 41416 points on November 6th, 2025. And the price action was only down on Friday, January 10th, 2025, as well as on Monday, January 13th, 2025 and/or even Tuesday, January 14th, 2025. Which can basically be seen as a bullish Trump rally! How high? How long? I don't know! But what I know, and what can also obviously be seen in the price action development, is that traders and/or investors have now more or less formed something like a trend reversal formation - with the annual low of 2025, on January 13th, 2025, at 41967 points. Which, in retrospect, proves that many traders and/or investors entered this price action zone bullishly. Will this lead to new annual highs in 2025? I don't know that either! But that's what I'm assuming. So I stick with my opinion from last weekend, namely that what is crucial for the first one is that the price action remains above November 6th, 2024, at 43965 points. So that the positive bullish basic expectation is confirmed. And because the previous historical high, from January 31, 2025, with 45227 points, was and is only 1232 points above the high on Trump's election day - when it went up by 1549 points - we can assume that there is pressure in the cauldron. The calm before the storm! A bull breakout? A recapture of the bears’ price action? I don't know! But it remains exciting. And we are within this long 4XSetUp.

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50000 : 2025/12/31 - Target Price
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44635 : 2025/02/14 - last price action
43681 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
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40000 - 2025/12/31 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron

“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.

Devise2Day

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