Get started
T-Bond Futures
Long

30Y Bonds to repeat 10YR seasonality move? $TLT $DXY

By mortdiggiddy
Updated
On average for the last 10 years, on July 24 30Y bonds and 10Y bonds have a massive move to the upside. The best play would be to buy ZN or ZB futures contracts, or September call options on TLT.
Note
10Y Bonds seasonality shows a major move that takes place on average very near the July FOMC statement, which occurs next week on July 29.

snapshot
Note
Cleaner picture for 2020 (fitted performance)

snapshot
Note
The current top today is Month Camarilla R3. I suspect an equal move to June 8-15 to finish it toward late August with a bang.
Note
Many times the yen tracks 30Y bonds (sometimes as a risk off trade) and shows a big increase against the dollar during this time of year.

DXY is forecasted to drop the remainder of the year as the Euro increases.

snapshot
Note
Nice recovery this week, started buying heavy on Monday

snapshot
Note
Added to long on this key monday backtest. snapshot
bondsChart PatternsnasdaqSeasonalityS&P 500 (SPX500)Trend Analysis
mortdiggiddy
Find the edge.

Website: daily-edge.com
Twitter: twitter.com/dailyEdgeGroup
Youtube: youtube.com/c/TheDailyEdgeTradingGroup
Telegram: t.me/mortdiggiddy
Paypal: paypal.me/mortdiggiddy
Also on:

Related publications

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.