We are currently in a strong monthly downtrend. Sellers have broken through SEVERAL strong key levels.(Purple lines) Price created supply/resistance zones on the way down & a head and shoulder pattern.
As I’m writing this price is testing key level 153”00 which has been respected as a support & resistance level since 2012! If price sells below this key level it may blow through the first major demand zone at 149”21. (If we see heavy selling)
I can’t be a first time buyer/zone tester while we’re in such a heavy downtrend. That’s like jumping in front of a moving train.
The second demand zone is a way higher probability trade. Multiple support/demand/key levels in this 139”00 - 136”00 area as well as a potential bear trap setup. (Trendline fake breakout)
This entire thesis is dependent on selling pressure bringing us into the 139”00 area. If price starts showing a break of the bearish structure within this zone I’ll jump on buyers team for a low risk trade. I’d love to see VWAP get tested in this area for added confirmation. We'll see.
*Confluence* Demand zone Support zone S1 Trendline 200 ema test Key level (Potential) Bear trap
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