Sharing probably one of my worst trades during these past 2 years; trading a small portion of my ETH into ZEC. Still planning on holding my position regardless.
This should turn around sometime (or maybe it’s just hopium). Even if it does not, the risk/reward ratio is favorable for those willing to risk even more of an inflation effect to their ETH stack. I still think the upward movement will be explosive as soon as the market remembers or acknowledges the intrinsic value in ZEC. The technology is there. The team as well. It only needs a push.
Since the COVID March 2020 crash, the ZEC/USD pair has been consistently holding an ascending trend, establishing higher lows. I currently have a target of $1,100 for the end of this cycle at one of the local 3.618 extensions. If market proves to be overly bullish it can go all the way towards the longer macro 3.618 extension at the low $3,000s. A $1,100 target price would definitely rhyme with Bitcoin's rise during the 2013 cycle at which time it also had a similar circulation to what ZEC has today, around 11-13 million. It should be noted that Zcash's minting emission rate is exponentially higher than that of Bitcoin's. Zcash should see its last coin mined by the early 2040s.
I'm still betting on privacy being a crucial element in crypto. If its value is not meant to be realized now during this meme cramped cycle, the odds are ever more increasing for it to be reached in the next one.
What does Zcash has in favor then? 1) Both Ethereum and Filecoin developers have been working on integrating zk-SNARKS. 2) Vitalik has been a big proponent and admirer of Zcash since its inception. 3) Grayscale Investments has also a Zcash exclusive fund. 4) The utility of Zcash moves across multiple industries and goes beyond blockchain and tech; manufacturing, health, education, etc.
It seems like ZEC is in need of a champion. A company like Apple comes to mind. It's either that or it will probably keep fading away into a etherless void. While the market chooses memes, even with its share of controversies regarding its launch and founders reward, I choose Zcash long term. It's fundamentally smart and sound.
*Currently planning on holding a Zcash position at least until the end of November.