Wheat Futures
Long

Wheat Trade idea

581
Wheat has been in a downtrend for the past two years, but right now it’s sitting in a strong demand zone on the weekly chart for the year. Both the technicals and fundamentals are starting to look bullish, so this could be a solid setup for a long trade even if the overall trend is still down.

On Thursday, April 24, there was a nice daily rejection between the 545’00 and 539’00 levels. That would’ve been a good entry based on my strategy.

Most traders would avoid this kind of trade because of the strong downtrend, but I see everything lining up here: demand zone, fundamentals, and rejection. It doesn’t mean the market will reverse, but the risk is worth the potential reward.

I’m not expecting a huge move just taking what the market gives me. If fundamentals keep supporting the move, I’ll hold longer. If not, I’ll take profit earlier. It’s about staying realistic and disciplined.

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