EDUCATION: The “Fake” Engulfing Candle: A SNEAKY TRAPAs traders, we’re often taught to look for classic price action patterns, and one of the most well-known is the Engulfing Candle. It's that strong reversal pattern where the body of the second candle completely engulfs the body of the first, signaling potential trend reversals or continuations. But what happens when that engulfing candle shows up in the "wrong" place? That’s what I like to call a "Fake" Engulfing Candle.
A "Fake" Engulfing Candle is one that paints on the chart but in a location that doesn’t align with the market context or trend. For example, if you’re in a strong, established trend, an engulfing candle that appears in the middle of the trend (without any supporting structure or context) could be a false signal. This kind of engulfing candle might look great on the chart, but it's not telling you the full story—it’s a signal with poor timing.
Understanding the Importance of Location
The location of an engulfing candle is key. A "real" engulfing candle typically forms after a clear trend exhaustion or at a key support or resistance level. These are areas where price is likely to reverse, and that’s where an engulfing pattern becomes meaningful. However, when the engulfing candle appears in random locations—without any clear structure around it—it’s often just noise in the market.
Fake signals, like this, can lead traders to make impulsive decisions, chasing trades that aren’t supported by solid market structure or context. Think of it like walking into a room full of noise—you may hear words, but they’re not telling you anything meaningful.
How to Spot a Fake Engulfing Candle
Context is King: Look for the engulfing candle to form after a trend exhaustion or near a key support or resistance level. If it pops up in the middle of a strong trend with no visible reason for reversal, chances are it’s a fake.
Volume Confirmation: Is the engulfing candle supported by volume? A strong engulfing candle should have an increase in volume, confirming the strength of the move. If volume is absent or weak, the signal may be unreliable.
Previous Market Structure: The best signals often come from patterns that align with previous market structure, such as previous highs or lows. If the engulfing candle doesn’t respect any major levels or swing points, it might not be worth trading.
Practical Takeaway: Don't Fall for the Fake
The takeaway here is simple: don’t let the appearance of a "perfect" engulfing candle fool you. Just because it looks good on the chart doesn’t mean it’s the right signal for the current market conditions. Always pay attention to the context around the pattern and confirm it with volume and other technical indicators. Remember, location matters when it comes to identifying valid trade setups.
Have you ever been caught by a "Fake" Engulfing Candle? What’s your process for distinguishing real signals from fake ones? Drop your thoughts in the comments—I'd love to hear how you handle these tricky setups!
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Bearish continuation setups taken on Silver and WTI today explaiIn this video, I walk you through my entire thought process during today's trading session. You'll learn how I selected the pairs and executed three key trades:
* Silver Breakdown Retracement Continuation Short, R4,5
* WTI Breakdown Continuation Short, R3
I'll also provide a detailed explanation of the BD Continuation setup, helping you understand how to apply this strategy in your own trading. Breakdown Continuation is one of my personal A+ playbook setups. Don't miss out on these valuable insights and tips!
Options Trading Advanced Series 1In this video, I dive into two advanced options trading strategies: the Long Iron Butterfly and the Short Iron Condor. These setups are designed to capitalize on sideways market movement. Using the TradingView Option Simulator, I demonstrate how each strategy works, discuss the potential outcomes, and share tips on optimizing them for better results.
The Weekend: Prepping to Trade & Travel w/AIRAIn preparation for a trip to show my daughter more of Thailand, I've switched to a fully mobile setup. I’m running everything with just two laptops and a monitor for each, getting my mind ready for this new workflow. I’m excited for this change because our usual work routine felt like it was limiting her experiences at such a crucial time in her life. This upcoming week is a big one, but nothing is more important than her growth and development. So, I hope you enjoy this test video. Rest assured, What's Flowing videos will keep flowing, and my algorithms will stay busy spread trading across various markets.
COUNTER-TREND TRADING...SAFE OR RISKY?....EURCAD LIVE EXAMPLEWhat is going on everybody! Hope you are having an amazing weekend so far! Just wanted to come on here and speak a little bit about one of my favorite trading subjects which is counter-trend trading! I personally do counter-trend trading as one of my trading strategies so I wanted to come on here and share a real life example of some things I look for and the mentality behind trading against the current trend of price
Hope you guys enjoy! Please boost and follow my page for more breakdowns! Appreciate you all!
Cheers!
Low hanging fruit continuation setup taken with Gold and NASIn this video, I walk you through my entire thought process during today's trading session. You'll learn how I selected the pairs and executed three key trades:
* Silver long scalp
* Gold LHF Short
* NAS LHF short
I'll also provide a detailed explanation of the LHF setup, helping you understand how to apply this strategy in your own trading. LHF is one of my personal A+ playbook setups. Don't miss out on these valuable insights and tips!
Why Nailing the Perfect Entry Won't Make You a Winning TraderWhen I first started trading, I spent an absurd amount of time obsessing over the “perfect entry.” I believed if I could just pinpoint the exact right moment to enter, my trades would take off like clockwork. I’d spot my pattern, line up my indicators, and wait for that split-second trigger. But as my journey evolved, I found that success in trading hinges far more on how you exit than on the entry itself.
Aggressive Entries: Simple and Straightforward
Let’s be clear—there is no “perfect entry,” no mythical timing trick that’ll guarantee success. Aggressive entries, for example, are straightforward: you spot the trigger candle, recognize the pattern, and take action at the close. That’s it. No endless analysis or hesitation, just decisive entry. This type of entry is powerful because it’s intentional, capturing the setup in real time rather than waiting for confirmation that could lead to a delayed entry.
While aggressive entries get you in at an ideal price, focusing on entry alone doesn’t cover the full picture of trade management. Without a plan for managing the trade after entry, you’re just hoping the market follows through—and hope is not a strategy.
Exits Matter More Than the Entry
Successful traders don’t just focus on getting in; they put more thought into getting out. If the goal is to grow and protect capital, then exits are the difference between locking in profit or watching it evaporate. After countless hours in the market, I learned that getting the exit right, or at least having a disciplined exit plan, is what shapes your profit curve.
For example, some traders aim for a certain percentage of profit or wait for the price to hit a key level. Others may use stop-loss strategies to protect gains by trailing the stop along the way. The exit strategy you choose is personal, but having one at all is non-negotiable. Think of it this way: without a solid exit plan, even a perfect entry is likely to unravel at some point.
Practical Tips for Developing a Strong Exit Strategy
Define Your Exit Before You Enter: Every trade should begin with a clearly defined exit plan. Before you even click “buy,” know exactly where you’ll exit for both a win and a loss. Setting realistic profit targets and stop losses not only protects you from over-trading but also keeps you focused on executing your plan.
Set Alerts and Automate: Using tools like TradingView’s alert feature is a lifesaver. Alerts allow you to step away from the charts without stressing over every price movement. Let’s be real—the market can be a hypnotic place, and constantly watching it can lead to impulsive decisions. Set your alerts and detach; you don’t need to be glued to your screen for every tick.
Use Incremental Exits: Instead of going all in or all out, consider taking partial profits at different stages of the move. For instance, you might exit half your position at a certain level and let the rest ride to maximize your gains. This approach allows you to capture profit while giving the remaining position room to potentially yield a larger win.
Review and Refine Your Exits: One of the best ways to improve your exit strategy is to backtest it. Use TradingView’s replay feature to “replay” past market conditions and test out various exit strategies. This is invaluable as it gives you a chance to fine-tune your approach based on actual data, not just theoretical setups.
Create Realistic Expectations: The reality of trading is that the market doesn’t always move according to plan. Stay flexible. Some trades might require a quick exit, while others might reward you for holding on. Don’t be afraid to adapt based on the conditions and price action unfolding in front of you.
Why Traders Fail Without an Exit Plan
For many traders, focusing solely on entries becomes a crutch. They mistakenly believe that if they just find the right entry, the trade will manage itself. But the market is unpredictable. Even the best entry can’t secure a win if the trader doesn’t know how to get out.
The hard truth is, obsessing over entries often masks a lack of strategy or confidence in the bigger picture. I’ve seen traders who hit excellent entries repeatedly, but without disciplined exits, they end up handing their profits back to the market. Don’t let your gains evaporate because you didn’t think about your way out.
Trading Success Is Built on Execution, Not Perfection
In the end, what separates successful traders from the rest isn’t a “perfect entry.” It’s a systematic approach to execution. The best traders don’t need flawless timing—they need consistency, discipline, and a clear plan that includes both entries and exits.
So, next time you’re studying a chart, ask yourself not just “Where would I enter?” but also, “Where and how would I exit?” It’s the exit, not the entry, that ultimately decides how much you keep—or give back—to the market.
So, how do you handle exits? Are you still chasing perfect entries, or have you found a balance? Share your strategy below—your insights might be just what another trader needs.
Buybacks vs. Dark Pool RotationThis lesson is about understanding the dynamics behind corporate buybacks. Sell-Side Institutions, aka the Banks of Record, have their floor traders do the actual buying of shares on behalf of the corporation. However, the Dark Pools, meaning the Buy-Side Institutions, start selling as the buybacks are going on.
This training will help you enter a buyback sooner and exit with higher profits for swing trading. We'll study the NASDAQ:AAPL chart to identify buyback candlestick patterns and how to see when the Dark Pools are selling to lower inventory, which is called "rotation." You will also see how the TTAccum/Dist indicator works, and how I use this excellent, leading Hybrid Indicator to aid in my analysis.
Watch Me Make $600,642 Backtesting in 20 MinutesMastering Backtesting with TradingView's Replay Feature: Your Target Practice for Trading Success
In the world of trading, practice makes perfect, and one of the best ways to hone your skills is through backtesting. TradingView’s replay feature serves as an invaluable tool for traders looking to test strategies, refine their skills, and improve their overall performance. Think of it as target practice—a way to simulate real market conditions without the pressure of live trading. This article will delve into how to effectively use the replay feature, challenge yourself, and why practice is essential for every trader.
The Power of Backtesting
Backtesting is the process of testing a trading strategy on historical data to determine its viability. It’s like a dress rehearsal for traders, allowing you to assess how a strategy would have performed in different market conditions. With TradingView’s replay feature, you can step back in time and play out the price movements of any market you choose.
Using TradingView's Replay Feature
Setting Up the Replay Feature:
Open TradingView and select the asset you want to backtest.
On the chart, locate the “Replay” button in the toolbar (usually represented by a play icon).
Click the button and select the date from which you want to start your replay. You can drag the slider to move through the historical data at your own pace.
Simulating Live Trading Conditions:
As the replay plays out, you can apply your trading strategy just as you would in real-time. Take note of price action, support and resistance levels, and your entry and exit points.
Use this opportunity to test different indicators and strategies, adjusting parameters as you see fit.
Documenting Your Trades:
Keep a journal of your trades during the replay. Note what worked, what didn’t, and any adjustments you made. This reflection is crucial for developing your trading skills.
Target Practice: Challenging Yourself
To truly benefit from backtesting with the replay feature, consider implementing challenges that simulate the pressure of live trading. Here are some ways to push yourself:
1. Risk Management Challenges:
Decide on a specific risk amount for each trade—say $1,000. After reaching a target profit, like $15,000, challenge yourself to avoid losing a predetermined amount, such as $2,500.
This mimics real-life scenarios where maintaining profits can be just as challenging as making them. It forces you to practice discipline and stick to your risk management rules.
2. Trade Frequency Goals:
Set a target for the number of trades you want to execute during the replay. For example, aim to make 10 trades in a single session. This encourages you to be decisive and consistent with your strategy.
3. Time Constraints:
Limit yourself to a specific time frame when executing trades. For instance, challenge yourself to make all trades within a 30-minute window during the replay. This helps you practice decision-making under pressure, enhancing your ability to react quickly in real-market situations.
The Importance of Practice for Traders
As traders, we must remember that consistent practice is key to mastery. The replay feature allows you to simulate different scenarios without the risk of real money, giving you the freedom to learn from your mistakes. Here’s why practice is crucial:
Building Confidence:
The more you practice your strategy in a controlled environment, the more confident you’ll become in your abilities. This confidence translates into more decisive actions when trading live.
Identifying Strengths and Weaknesses:
Regularly backtesting enables you to pinpoint areas where your strategy excels and where it falters. This awareness allows you to adapt and evolve your approach over time.
Understanding Market Dynamics:
Each market behaves differently. By practicing across various assets and timeframes, you’ll develop a deeper understanding of market dynamics, helping you make better-informed decisions.
TradingView’s replay feature is a powerful tool for backtesting and honing your trading strategies. By treating this process as target practice, you can simulate real trading scenarios, test your strategies, and build the skills necessary for successful trading. Don’t shy away from challenging yourself with risk management goals, trade frequency targets, and time constraints. Remember, consistent practice is the pathway to mastery, and with the right tools and mindset, you can elevate your trading game to new heights. So dive into that replay feature, test your strategies, and watch your trading skills flourish!
How I Identify Support and Resistance in Day TradingTo understand Price Action, first thing we do is to look for (S) and (R) to help us read strength&weakness of price.
This video will explain how I find Support and Resistance of a trend.
I will provide example of what your chart will looks like throughout trading hours.
how to know which candle to draw (S)/(R).
How I use ORB with Fibonacci Retracement to find (R) and Target.This video will explain how to draw FIB on ORB to find potential resistances and target.
Setting style of Fibonacci Retracement for first target 2.0%: (0%, 0.5%, 1.0%, 1.5%, 2.0%)
extension for Fib is to add another +1.5% incrament to Frist Target of 2.0%. (....2.0%. 2.5%, 3.0%, 3.5%)
how I find support and resistance of a trendTo understand Price Action, first thing we do is to look for (S) and (R) to help us read strength&weakness of price.
This video will explain how I find Support and Resistance of a trend.
I will provide example of what your chart will looks like throughout trading hours.
how to know which candle to draw (S)/(R).
Using Renko Charts to Uncover SECRET Bank LevelsRenko charting has a unique way of displaying price data by filtering out smaller fluctuations and focusing only on substantial price moves. With a setting of Average True Range (ATR) 13, Renko charts become even more powerful for finding key institutional levels—what many traders call "secret bank levels." These are the levels where large institutional traders place their orders, often leading to significant price moves. In this tutorial, we’ll dive into how you can use Renko charts with an ATR setting of 13 to identify these bank levels and improve your trading strategy.
What Are Secret Bank Levels?
Institutional or bank levels are price points where big players—like banks and hedge funds—are likely to buy or sell in large quantities. Retail traders can leverage these levels by understanding where the big money is moving, aligning their trades accordingly. Renko charts, with their clarity in price movement, help identify these areas by smoothing out noise and highlighting essential support and resistance zones.
Why Renko Charts?
Renko charts are designed to filter out minor price movements, providing a cleaner view of market trends by focusing solely on significant price changes. Unlike time-based charts, Renko charts print a new "brick" only when price moves by a specified amount, determined here by the ATR 13 setting. This brick-by-brick approach can reveal clear levels where price repeatedly finds support or resistance, often signaling where major institutions are setting up their positions.
Setting Up Renko with ATR (13)
Choose Your Charting Platform: Most charting software, including TradingView and MetaTrader, offers Renko charting. Make sure your platform supports Renko and ATR-based calculations.
Configure Renko with ATR (13):
Open the Renko chart on your selected asset (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD).
In your settings, set the brick size to use the ATR indicator and specify an ATR length of 13. This setting is designed to adjust the brick size based on the recent average true range, capturing a balanced view of price movement.
This 13-period setting adapts to recent market volatility, allowing Renko bricks to reveal significant price movements that matter to large institutional players.
Adjust Timeframes:
Since Renko charts don’t follow traditional time-based intervals, switch between higher and lower timeframes (like the 1-hour or 4-hour charts) to observe different levels of institutional interest. Higher timeframes generally provide more reliable secret bank levels, but you can switch to lower timeframes for refined entry points.
Identifying Bank Levels with Renko and ATR (13)
Now that your chart is set up, let's move on to the process of identifying institutional levels.
1. Look for Brick Clusters at Key Levels
Renko bricks tend to form clusters at significant institutional levels. When you see several bricks stacked horizontally with little movement, it often indicates a zone where price is struggling to break through, either as strong support or resistance.
Use these clusters as potential entry or exit points, aligning with the institutional flow.
2. Identify Breakouts and Rejections
When price breaks out of a cluster or encounters rejection (where bricks reverse direction after hitting a level), you may be witnessing bank-level reactions.
Watch for bricks that quickly shift direction after hitting a level—these can signal that institutions have stepped in to either push price further or halt its momentum.
3. Note Patterns and Reversals at Round Numbers
Banks and institutions often place orders at round numbers, which are psychologically significant levels (like 1.2000, 1.2500).
As Renko charts with ATR (13) are sensitive to significant price changes, they can help highlight when price respects or bounces off these round numbers, offering clues to potential institutional zones.
Practical Example: Trading Secret Bank Levels with Renko
Let’s say you’re analyzing EUR/USD on a Renko chart with an ATR 13 setting.
Identify Clusters at 1.2000: After setting up your chart, you observe a cluster of Renko bricks at 1.2000, indicating a strong support zone. This level has held multiple times, suggesting institutional buying interest.
Wait for a Brick Breakout: You then see price breaking out with consecutive Renko bricks closing above 1.2000. This breakout suggests that the buying pressure might push prices higher.
Enter and Manage Your Position:
Take a buy position after confirming the breakout. Set your stop loss just below the cluster at 1.1980 to minimize risk.
If you’re looking for a shorter-term position, aim for profit at the next round number, like 1.2100.
For a longer-term trade, follow Renko’s direction, adjusting your stop as the bricks move.
Tips for Trading Bank Levels with Renko and ATR (13)
Trust Your Levels: Renko charts can simplify your analysis, but it’s easy to second-guess your levels. If you’ve identified strong clusters or patterns at certain price points, trust your analysis.
Use Alerts to Avoid Over-Trading: TradingView and other platforms allow you to set alerts at specific price levels. This way, you won’t need to stare at charts all day.
Thank you for watching and feel free to leave a comment to let me know your thoughts on Renko and if you see yourself using this chart type.
-TL Turner
Understanding The Basics Of AI/Inference Engine ConstructionRecently, there has been a lot of discussion related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work.
In short, without disclosing proprietary code/quants, I built an inference engine based on Fibonacci, GANN, and Tesla theories.
Part of this inference engine is to identify the highest probable outcome related to the patterns.
This is not rocket-science. This is the same process your brain does when determining when and what to trade.
The only difference is I'm doing a bunch of proprietary calculations/quants related to data and price theory in the background, then the inference engine determines the best, most likely outcome.
Take a few minutes to watch this video and try to understand the difference between static and dynamic modeling.
Again, my objective is to help as many traders as possible. My Plan Your Trade videos are my opinions based on my skills, knowledge, and proprietary modeling systems/tools.
None of my tools are 100% accurate all the time - nothing is. But, I do believe the quality of information and instructional information I provide is invaluable to most traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Take a look at this strategy"Video Idea: A complete beginner-to-pro guide on using TradingView's advanced charting tools, technical indicators, and customizable features for market analysis. The video will cover setting up your workspace, reading charts, creating trading strategies, and navigating the social community. Perfect for traders looking to maximize their TradingView experience!"
"Video Idea: A complete beginner-to-pro guide on using TradingView's advanced charting tools, technical indicators, and customizable features for market analysis. The video will cover setting up your workspace, reading charts, creating trading strategies, and navigating the social community. Perfect for traders looking to maximize their TradingView experience!"
Stacey Burke ID Setup taken on WTI, and Silver reversal shortIn this video, I walk you through my entire thought process during today's trading session. You'll learn how I selected the pairs and executed three key trades:
- Silver Reversal Short
- WTI inside day , first red day, short
Inside days are a key best trade setup of Stacey Burke. Don't miss out on these valuable insights and tips!
For details on the Stacey Burke style trading approach see his site and playbook: https://stacey-burke-trading.thinkifi...
Working To Unlock The 3-6-9 Secrets Of The MarketRecently, there have been a lot of questions related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work.
I've often stated that these patterns are based on Gann, Tesla, and Fibonacci's price theory.
However, underlying all that is a core component related to the 3-6-9 (secrets of the universe) theory.
This video tries to introduce you to the concepts of the 3-6-9 theory and how it overlays with Gann, Tesla, Fibonacci, Japanese Candlesticks, and more.
My focus for the past 24+ months has been to unlock this theory's secrets and develop a practical use component (code) that attempts to provide very clear future trading/price predictions.
Spend some time watching this video. See what you think and open your mind to the concept that price moves through construction and destruction phases (likely based on the 3-6-9 concepts).
At the end of this video, I share some practical knowledge/examples showing why I believe the 3-6-9 theory is critical to unlocking the true secrets of market price action.
I may never be able to unlock all of it, but I'm dedicated to trying to unlock as much as I can within my lifetime.
This drives me to build code solutions and attempt to improve my skills.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OF US DOLLAR - Watch n´Learn Hi everyone!
So If you were to look back at my previous education video on the DXY you would have seen that we have continued to go higher.
And right we are in the third zone without a pullback. What does it mean?
Well for me, it means its definitely time for a serious pullback, where I would make back all my sell losses.
This a little bit too manipulatory for me, and it does not make much sense, but gotta keep going and make that living.
Thanks for watching!
Smart money uses a system. This is mine "Smart money" doesn’t rely on luck—it relies on a system. Consistency beats chaos, especially when it comes to navigating the markets. I’ve built my own system for making informed decisions, and it's been a game-changer for me.
In this post, I'll give you a look into how I structure my approach. It's not about predicting every move perfectly; it's about creating a framework that helps stack the odds in your favor over time.
Let me know if you use a similar strategy or if you've got questions about building your own system—I'm always up for a good conversation about how to make the markets work for you.
HFTs gaps: Learn how to enter a stock before a huge gap up.High Frequency Trading companies are market makers/takers that provide liquidity for the public exchanges, and they now use AI. HFTs have a huge impact on your profitability. You can make higher profits from trading ahead of the HFT gaps and riding the momentum upward or downward.
In this short video, you'll learn some basics on how to identify the patterns that precede HFT gaps, which I call Pro Trader Nudges . Learn what to look for in Volume patterns and pre-gap price action.
Make sure you are not chasing HFTs but riding the wave of momentum they create, just like professional traders do.